Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Watford FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Millwall FC

Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Yaser Asprilla 7' 1–0

1–1 12' Zian Flemming

1–2 85' Wes Harding

Mileta Rajovic 90+2' 2–2

Y 28' Zian Flemming

Jake Livermore 37' Y

Y 38' George Saville

Yaser Asprilla 50' Y

Ken Sema 80' Y

Y 90' Brooke Norton-Cuffy

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Keith Stroud
Assistant 1 Craig Taylor
Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Millwall FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-28 Watford FC 2–2 Millwall FC 2022-12-26 Watford FC 0–2 Millwall FC 2022-10-19 Millwall FC 3–0 Watford FC 2021-04-24 Watford FC 1–0 Millwall FC 2021-01-26 Millwall FC 0–0 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Millwall FC	H	2–2	D
24 Oct	Swansea City AFC	A	1–0	W
21 Oct	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W
07 Oct	Cardiff City FC	A	1–1	D
04 Oct	Sunderland AFC	A	0–2	L
30 Sep	Middlesbrough FC	H	2–3	L

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Watford FC	A	2–2	D
24 Oct	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	1–2	L
21 Oct	Preston North End FC	A	1–1	D
07 Oct	Hull City AFC	H	2–2	D
03 Oct	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	2–0	W
30 Sep	Swansea City AFC	H	0–3	L

Season Stats

Watford FC		Millwall FC
#16	Position	#3
57	Points	83
46	Played	46
14 / 15 / 17	W / D / L	24 / 11 / 11
53	Scored	64
65	Conceded	49
-12	GD	+15
1.24	PPG	1.80
30%	Win %	52%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
7' Watford FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yaser Asprilla on 7.
12' The Netherlands Zian Flemming breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 1-1!
28' The referee has no hesitation. Zian Flemming is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 28.
37' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jake Livermore on 37 minutes.
38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for George Saville.
50' Yaser Asprilla has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
59' Ryan Longman has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Honeyman on 59 minute.
61' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Yaser Asprilla exits the field as Matheus Martins enters on 61.
80' Ken Sema catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 80.
82' Kevin Nisbet is replacing Tom Bradshaw for the Millwall FC side.
83' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Casper De Norre by Billy Mitchell on 83 minute.
85' A stunning finish from Wes Harding — that came from absolutely nowhere!
90' Brooke Norton-Cuffy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Bradshaw	4
Zian Flemming	3
Mileta Rajovic	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Andreas Voglsammer	1
Wes Harding	1
Yaser Asprilla	1
Edo Kayembe	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.12 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Millwall FC xG

I would bet for: Watford FC or Millwall FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Watford FC32% Draw28% Millwall FC40%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Millwall FC

68%

Watford FC or Millwall FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC21% Draw47% Millwall FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

9.9%

0 – 0

9.1%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 2

1 – 0

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

4.4%

0 – 3

2 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Millwall FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	16%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	22%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.