Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Craig Taylor
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Watford FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #11 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 10 | Conceded | 15 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 25% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at Vicarage Road.
- 7' Yaser Asprilla has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
- 12' A goal from the Netherlands international Zian Flemming! He fires home on 12 to make it 1-1!
- 28' Zian Flemming picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jake Livermore on 37.
- 38' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for George Saville.
- 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yaser Asprilla on 50.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Longman. He replaces George Honeyman on 59 minute.
- 61' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Yaser Asprilla exits the field as Matheus Martins enters on 61.
- 80' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ken Sema.
- 82' Tom Bradshaw makes way for Kevin Nisbet at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Billy Mitchell. He replaces Casper De Norre on 83 minute.
- 85' Magnificent from Wes Harding! That is 8 goals in 388 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' Brooke Norton-Cuffy picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Wes Harding | 1 |
| Yaser Asprilla | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Millwall FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Millwall FC
67%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.