Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Craig Taylor
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Watford FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #16 |
| 15 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 27 |
| -10 | GD | -4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 27% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 7' Yaser Asprilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the forward.
- 12' GOAL! Zian Flemming fires home to make it 1-1!
- 28' Millwall FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 37' A moment of madness from Jake Livermore on 37 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 38' George Saville was booked on 38.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Yaser Asprilla argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 59' Ryan Longman is ready to make an impact after coming on for George Honeyman at the 59 minute mark.
- 61' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Yaser Asprilla is replaced by Matheus Martins on 61 minute.
- 80' Ken Sema was booked on 80.
- 82' Kevin Nisbet is replacing Tom Bradshaw for the Millwall FC side.
- 83' Billy Mitchell gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Casper De Norre and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' What composure from Wes Harding! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Brooke Norton-Cuffy is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
| Andreas Voglsammer | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Millwall FC 73% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Millwall FC
67%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.