Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 20,523 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mamadou Doumbia 8' 1–0
1–1 43' Zian Flemming
1–2 58' Josh Brownhill

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 George Byrne
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Burnley FC H 1–2 L
12 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–2 L
08 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
15 Mar Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Swansea City AFC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 8' Watford FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mamadou Doumbia on 8.
  • 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francisco Sierralta made 380 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 18' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 33' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. James Abankwah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' Goal! Zian Flemming scores his 70 goal in 232 matches.
  • 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 53' James Trafford has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' Sensational shot from Josh Brownhill. Burnley FC is back in the lead.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a card for Moussa Sissoko.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a card for Moussa Sissoko.
  • 61' Zian Flemming is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 66.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Imran Louza on 69.
  • 72' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Laurent is hanging Marcus Edwards on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replacing Mamadou Doumbia for the Watford FC side.
  • 80' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 85' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Imran Louza departs to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru.
  • 87' Another change for Burnley FC made on 87 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Ashley Barnes.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Jeremy Sarmiento gets a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burnley FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC30% Draw30% Burnley FC40%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC22% Draw52% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.