Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 George Byrne
- Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 8' Watford FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mamadou Doumbia on 8.
- 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francisco Sierralta made 380 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 18' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 33' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. James Abankwah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' Goal! Zian Flemming scores his 70 goal in 232 matches.
- 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' James Trafford has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' Sensational shot from Josh Brownhill. Burnley FC is back in the lead.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Moussa Sissoko.
- 60' It’s gonna be a card for Moussa Sissoko.
- 61' Zian Flemming is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 66.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Imran Louza on 69.
- 72' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Laurent is hanging Marcus Edwards on the field on 72 minute.
- 75' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replacing Mamadou Doumbia for the Watford FC side.
- 80' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 84' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
- 85' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Imran Louza departs to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru.
- 87' Another change for Burnley FC made on 87 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Ashley Barnes.
- 90' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Jeremy Sarmiento gets a card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burnley FC players.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 39
- 6
-
10
Imran Louza ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 85'
- 14
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 75'
- 33
- 26
- 25
-
11
Rocco Vata ↓ Tom Ince 75'
- 20
Bench
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 75'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 85'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 75'
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 85'
- 22
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 75'
- 52
- 60
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Josh Laurent 72'
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Ashley Barnes 87'
- 11
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 23
- 6
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 87'
- 15
- 4
- 32
- 7
- 30
- 2
- 34
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 72'
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
| Chris Wood | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

