Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 George Byrne
- Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #24 |
| 8 | Points | 4 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 4 |
| 7 | Scored | 9 |
| 10 | Conceded | 17 |
| -3 | GD | -8 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.50 |
| 25% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Vicarage Road. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Watford FC and Burnley FC.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 8' Watford FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mamadou Doumbia on 8.
- 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcus Edwards made 144 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 23' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
- 28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' Zian Flemming doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tom Cleverley will be considering his options from the bench.
- 53' Egil Selvik is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 58' Josh Brownhill puts Burnley FC on the lead.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Moussa Sissoko on 59 minutes.
- 60' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 61' Zian Flemming was booked on 61.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 66.
- 69' Imran Louza picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' The whistle greets Marcus Edwards as he departs to be replaced by Josh Laurent.
- 75' Watford FC ring the changes. Mamadou Doumbia has done his job and it is now time for Vakoun Issouf Bayo to step up.
- 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 84' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Vakoun Issouf Bayo gets a card.
- 85' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Imran Louza exits the field as Tom Dele-Bashiru enters on 85.
- 87' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Zian Flemming by Ashley Barnes on 87 minute.
- 90' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 1-2 Burnley FC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 39
- 6
-
10
Imran Louza ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 85'
- 14
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 75'
- 33
- 26
- 25
-
11
Rocco Vata ↓ Tom Ince 75'
- 20
Bench
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 75'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 85'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 75'
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 85'
- 22
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 75'
- 52
- 60
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Josh Laurent 72'
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Ashley Barnes 87'
- 11
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 23
- 6
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 87'
- 15
- 4
- 32
- 7
- 30
- 2
- 34
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 72'
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Burnley FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

