Saturday , 14 November 2026

Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
1 – 2
Full Time
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 20,523 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mamadou Doumbia 8' 1–0
1–1 43' Zian Flemming
1–2 58' Josh Brownhill

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 George Byrne
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)
7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Burnley FC H 1–2 L
12 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–2 L
08 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
15 Mar Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Swansea City AFC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Burnley FC
#20 Position #22
15 Points 10
15 Played 15
4 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 1 / 7 / 7
13 Scored 22
23 Conceded 31
-10 GD -9
1.00 PPG 0.67
27% Win % 7%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Watford FC host Burnley FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 8' Goal! Mamadou Doumbia scores his 3 goal in 370 matches.
  • 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Scott Parker might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 354 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 33' Josh Brownhill has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Scott Parker will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' A goal from the Netherlands international Zian Flemming! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
  • 48' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' With 2 assists to his name this season, Hannibal Mejbri is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 58' Josh Brownhill doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Moussa Sissoko on 59 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 60' Controversy at the stadium! Moussa Sissoko argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Zian Flemming. He receives a card.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 66.
  • 69' That is a card for Watford FC. Imran Louza will be fuming at that decision.
  • 72' Josh Laurent has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcus Edwards on 72 minute.
  • 75' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Mamadou Doumbia departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 80' James Abankwah is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 84 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 85' Tom Dele-Bashiru has so much to prove this time. He replaces Imran Louza on 85 minute.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Ashley Barnes comes on to replace Zian Flemming.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jeremy Sarmiento on 90.
  • The points are shared — Watford FC 1-2 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC28% Draw28% Burnley FC44%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Burnley FC
72%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC22% Draw49% Burnley FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.