Sunday , 6 September 2026

Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 20,523 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mamadou Doumbia 8' 1–0
1–1 43' Zian Flemming
1–2 58' Josh Brownhill

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 George Byrne
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Burnley FC H 1–2 L
12 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–2 L
08 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
15 Mar Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Swansea City AFC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Burnley FC
#18 Position #24
5 Points 2
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 3
4 Scored 6
6 Conceded 12
-2 GD -6
1.00 PPG 0.40
20% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Watford FC are 18th (5 pts). Burnley FC are 24th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
/3
16-30
1/3
31-45
/
46-60
2/1
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 2 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Watford FC have kicked off against Burnley FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The 27-year-old Marcus Edwards has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 8' GOAL! Mamadou Doumbia scores on 8. Assisted by Rocco Vata
  • 13' Watford FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 18' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' Moussa Sissoko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' A goal from the Netherlands international Zian Flemming! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
  • 48' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 58' What a moment for Josh Brownhill! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Moussa Sissoko is booked for Watford FC — card on 59.
  • 60' Moussa Sissoko is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Zian Flemming on 61 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Cullen.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Imran Louza on 69.
  • 72' Burnley FC make a change. Marcus Edwards trudges off to be replaced by Josh Laurent on 72 minutes.
  • 75' Mamadou Doumbia makes way for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Watford FCTom Dele-Bashiru on, Imran Louza off on 85 minutes.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Burnley FCAshley Barnes on, Zian Flemming off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Jeremy Sarmiento argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Burnley FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Burnley FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC33% Draw30% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC25% Draw51% Burnley FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.