Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 George Byrne
- Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #22 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 1 / 7 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 31 |
| -10 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 27% | Win % | 7% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Watford FC host Burnley FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 8' Goal! Mamadou Doumbia scores his 3 goal in 370 matches.
- 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Scott Parker might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 23' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 354 games and scored 420 goals.
- 33' Josh Brownhill has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Scott Parker will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' A goal from the Netherlands international Zian Flemming! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
- 48' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' With 2 assists to his name this season, Hannibal Mejbri is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
- 58' Josh Brownhill doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' A moment of madness from Moussa Sissoko on 59 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Moussa Sissoko argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Zian Flemming. He receives a card.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 66.
- 69' That is a card for Watford FC. Imran Louza will be fuming at that decision.
- 72' Josh Laurent has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcus Edwards on 72 minute.
- 75' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Mamadou Doumbia departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 80' James Abankwah is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
- 84' A moment of madness from Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 84 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 85' Tom Dele-Bashiru has so much to prove this time. He replaces Imran Louza on 85 minute.
- 87' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Ashley Barnes comes on to replace Zian Flemming.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jeremy Sarmiento on 90.
- The points are shared — Watford FC 1-2 Burnley FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 39
- 6
-
10
Imran Louza ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 85'
- 14
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 75'
- 33
- 26
- 25
-
11
Rocco Vata ↓ Tom Ince 75'
- 20
Bench
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 75'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 85'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 75'
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 85'
- 22
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 75'
- 52
- 60
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Josh Laurent 72'
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Ashley Barnes 87'
- 11
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 23
- 6
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 87'
- 15
- 4
- 32
- 7
- 30
- 2
- 34
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 72'
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Marcus Edwards | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Draw 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Burnley FC
72%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

