Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 5 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 George Byrne
- Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Bristol City FC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Millwall FC | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | West Ham United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Wrexham AFC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Stoke City FC | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Portsmouth FC | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Sheffield United FC | 5 | 6 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 5 | 5 |
| 17 | Lincoln City FC | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Watford FC | 5 | 5 |
| 19 | Southampton FC | 5 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby County FC | 5 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 5 | 4 |
| 22 | Cardiff City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 5 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #24 |
| 5 | Points | 2 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 3 |
| 4 | Scored | 6 |
| 6 | Conceded | 12 |
| -2 | GD | -6 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.40 |
| 20% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Watford FC are 18th (5 pts). Burnley FC are 24th (2 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 2 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Watford FC have kicked off against Burnley FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The 27-year-old Marcus Edwards has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 8' GOAL! Mamadou Doumbia scores on 8. Assisted by Rocco Vata
- 13' Watford FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 23' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Moussa Sissoko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 43' A goal from the Netherlands international Zian Flemming! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
- 48' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 58' What a moment for Josh Brownhill! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 59' The referee has no hesitation. Moussa Sissoko is booked for Watford FC — card on 59.
- 60' Moussa Sissoko is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 61' A moment of madness from Zian Flemming on 61 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
- 66' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Cullen.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Imran Louza on 69.
- 72' Burnley FC make a change. Marcus Edwards trudges off to be replaced by Josh Laurent on 72 minutes.
- 75' Mamadou Doumbia makes way for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 84' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
- 85' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Tom Dele-Bashiru on, Imran Louza off on 85 minutes.
- 87' A tactical swap from Burnley FC — Ashley Barnes on, Zian Flemming off on 87 minutes.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Jeremy Sarmiento argues furiously but the card stands.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Burnley FC take all three points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 39
- 6
-
10
Imran Louza ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 85'
- 14
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 75'
- 33
- 26
- 25
-
11
Rocco Vata ↓ Tom Ince 75'
- 20
Bench
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 75'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 85'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 75'
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 85'
- 22
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 75'
- 52
- 60
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Josh Laurent 72'
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Ashley Barnes 87'
- 11
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 23
- 6
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 87'
- 15
- 4
- 32
- 7
- 30
- 2
- 34
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 72'
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
| Chris Wood | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Burnley FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

