Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burnley FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 May | Chelsea FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 May | Leicester City FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 11 May | Everton FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Aug | Luton Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jul | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 May | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 May | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Burnley FC for this crunch clash at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Chile international Francisco Sierralta has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Burnley FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' Charlie Taylor, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' The whistle greets Tom Cleverley as he departs to be replaced by Dan Gosling.
- 47' Tom Cleverley adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ken Sema, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road Stadium with 6 goals in the last 4 games.
- 57' Josh Cullen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
- 62' Burnley FC ring the changes. Benson Manuel has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Tella to step up.
- 63' Jay Rodriguez gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Ashley Barnes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Ismaila Sarr.
- 69' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 75' Burnley FC make a change. Samuel Bastien trudges off to be replaced by Vitinho on 75 minutes.
- 79' Yaser Asprilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Pedro on 79 minute.
- 81' The referee calls foul for Hassane Kamara. He receives a Red card.
- 82' Watford FC make a change. Hamza Choudhury trudges off to be replaced by Christian Kabasele on 82 minutes.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Josh Brownhill on 85 minutes.
- 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Yaser Asprilla.
- 90' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Josh Cullen by Luke McNally on 90 minute.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 12
- 15
-
8
Tom Cleverley ↓ Dan Gosling 46'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 31
- 1
- 39
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 79'
Bench
-
27
Christian Kabasele ↑ 82'
- 26
-
16
Dan Gosling ↑ 46'
- 9
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 64'
- 2
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 79'
Coach
Rob Edwards
Burnley FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 3
-
10
Ashley Barnes ↓ Jay Rodriguez 62'
- 14
- 49
-
24
Josh Cullen ↓ Luke McNally 90'
-
17
Benson Manuel ↓ Nathan Tella 62'
-
26
Samuel Bastien ↓ Vitinho 75'
- 5
- 29
-
44
Dara Costelloe ↓ Jack Cork 46'
Bench
-
19
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 62'
-
4
Jack Cork ↑ 46'
- 15
-
22
Vitinho ↑ 75'
-
21
Luke McNally ↑ 90'
-
23
Nathan Tella ↑ 62'
- 6
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Ashley Barnes | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Burnley FC
63%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

