Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
1 0
Full Time
Fri 12 Aug 2022 · 19:00 UTC Vicarage Road Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–0 W
08 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
01 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
22 May Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
15 May Leicester City FC H 1–5 L
11 May Everton FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Watford FC A 0–1 L
06 Aug Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
29 Jul Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–0 W
22 May Newcastle United FC H 1–2 L
19 May Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
15 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Burnley FC for this crunch clash at Vicarage Road Stadium.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Chile international Francisco Sierralta has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Burnley FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Charlie Taylor, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' The whistle greets Tom Cleverley as he departs to be replaced by Dan Gosling.
  • 47' Tom Cleverley adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ken Sema, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road Stadium with 6 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 57' Josh Cullen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 62' Burnley FC ring the changes. Benson Manuel has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Tella to step up.
  • 63' Jay Rodriguez gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Ashley Barnes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Ismaila Sarr.
  • 69' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 75' Burnley FC make a change. Samuel Bastien trudges off to be replaced by Vitinho on 75 minutes.
  • 79' Yaser Asprilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Pedro on 79 minute.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Hassane Kamara. He receives a Red card.
  • 82' Watford FC make a change. Hamza Choudhury trudges off to be replaced by Christian Kabasele on 82 minutes.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Josh Brownhill on 85 minutes.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Yaser Asprilla.
  • 90' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Josh Cullen by Luke McNally on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC37% Draw32% Burnley FC31%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Burnley FC
63%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC22% Draw55% Burnley FC23%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.