Bristol City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Darren Bond
- Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
- Assistant 2 Marc Perry
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Watford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #16 |
| 62 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 17 / 11 / 18 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 59 | Scored | 53 |
| 59 | Conceded | 65 |
| +0 | GD | -12 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Bristol City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Kwadwo Baah needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Bristol City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Kwadwo Baah is replaced by Tom Ince.
- 23' England international Tom Ince has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 24' A stunning finish from Ross McCrorie — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 29' The Bermuda Nahki Wells breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 2-0!
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Liam Manning will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Cleverley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol City FC that had 387 games and scored 433 goals.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Bristol City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 60' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Moussa Sissoko by Giorgi Chakvetadze on 60 minute.
- 63' Sinclair Armstrong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nahki Wells on 63 minute.
- 64' Bristol City FC ring the changes. Ross McCrorie has done his job and it is now time for Haydon Roberts to step up.
- 65' The whistle greets Joe Williams as he departs to be replaced by Marcus McGuane.
- 69' It’s a booking for Bristol City FC player. George Earthy gets a card.
- 72' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Max Bird is withdrawn and Anis Mehmeti gets his opportunity.
- 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Caleb Wiley suffering a number of foals already.
- 78' Yasser Larouci gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Caleb Wiley and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Jeremy Ngakia is withdrawn and Ryan Andrews gets his opportunity.
- 80' Mamadou Doumbia adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 85' Watford FC have won 391 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 90' The crowd applauds Mark Sykes as he leaves the pitch. Sam Bell steps in for Bristol City FC.
- Bristol City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3
-
6
Max Bird ↓ Anis Mehmeti 72'
- 21
-
8
Joe Williams ↓ Marcus McGuane 65'
- 14
- 16
-
2
Ross McCrorie ↓ Haydon Roberts 64'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Sam Bell 90'
- 12
- 1
- 40
Bench
-
29
Marcus McGuane ↑ 65'
-
24
Haydon Roberts ↑ 64'
- 23
-
11
Anis Mehmeti ↑ 72'
-
20
Sam Bell ↑ 90'
-
30
Sinclair Armstrong ↑ 63'
- 31
- 7
Coach
Liam Manning
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 17
- 39
- 19
- 6
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Tom Ince 18'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 79'
- 33
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Yasser Larouci 78'
- 25
- 11
Bench
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 18'
- 3
- 1
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 60'
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 78'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 79'
- 47
-
20
Mamadou Doumbia ↑ 60'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 2 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Nahki Wells | 1 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 1 |
| Ross McCrorie | 1 |
| Harry Cornick | 1 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
49%
Bristol City FC or Watford FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bristol City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

