Bristol City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Bristol City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Ashton Gate 22,505 HT 45' · FT 45'

Ross McCrorie 24' 1–0

Nahki Wells 29' 2–0

2–1 80' Mamadou Doumbia

George Earthy 69' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Bristol City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Darren Bond
Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
Assistant 2 Marc Perry

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-05 Bristol City FC 2–1 Watford FC 2024-11-26 Watford FC 1–0 Bristol City FC 2024-01-20 Bristol City FC 1–1 Watford FC 2023-12-26 Watford FC 1–4 Bristol City FC 2023-04-15 Watford FC 2–0 Bristol City FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	Watford FC	H	2–1	W
29 Mar	Burnley FC	A	0–1	L
14 Mar	Norwich City FC	H	2–1	W
11 Mar	Sheffield United FC	A	1–1	D
08 Mar	Hull City AFC	H	1–1	D
04 Mar	Millwall FC	A	2–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	Bristol City FC	A	1–2	L
29 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	0–0	D
15 Mar	Oxford United FC	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Swansea City AFC	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	Millwall FC	H	1–2	L
01 Mar	Stoke City FC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Bristol City FC		Watford FC
#17	Position	#20
18	Points	15
15	Played	15
5 / 3 / 7	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 8
16	Scored	13
24	Conceded	23
-8	GD	-10
1.20	PPG	1.00
33%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/2

31-45

4/3

46-60

1/7

61-75

1/2

76+

7/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC

Scott Twine	5 G
Dominic Ballard	4 G
Lorent Tolaj	2 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bristol City FC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rob Dickie suffering a number of foals already.
10' Ryan Andrews is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
15' Bristol City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
18' The whistle greets Kwadwo Baah as he departs to be replaced by Tom Ince.
23' Kwadwo Baah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 141 appearances.
24' Magnificent from Ross McCrorie! That is 11 goals in 414 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
29' Against the run of play, Nahki Wells has scored! This game has turned on its head.
34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Liam Manning might look to freshen things up shortly.
44' Bristol City FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-3-3 shape.
49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Zak Vyner is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
54' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
60' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Moussa Sissoko is replaced by Giorgi Chakvetadze on 60 minute.
63' Bristol City FC make a change. Nahki Wells trudges off to be replaced by Sinclair Armstrong on 63 minutes.
64' The supporters are chanting for Haydon Roberts. He replaces Ross McCrorie on 64 minute.
65' Joe Williams makes way for Marcus McGuane at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol City FC.
69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for George Earthy.
72' The crowd applauds Max Bird as he leaves the pitch. Anis Mehmeti steps in for Bristol City FC.
77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James Abankwah made 467 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
78' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Yasser Larouci on, Caleb Wiley off on 78 minutes.
79' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia and will look to change the dynamic.
80' Brilliant from the ! Mamadou Doumbia makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 80.
85' Bristol City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Dominic Ballard scoring 1 goals.
90' A change in the Bristol City FC ranks — Mark Sykes exits the field as Sam Bell enters on 90.
Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Bristol City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

29
Marcus McGuane ↑ 65'
24
Haydon Roberts ↑ 64'
23
Stefan Bajic
11
Anis Mehmeti ↑ 72'
20
Sam Bell ↑ 90'
30
Sinclair Armstrong ↑ 63'
31
Elijah Morrison
7
Yu Hirakawa

Coach Liam Manning

Watford FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Giorgi Chakvetadze 60'
39
Edo Kayembe
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↓ Mamadou Doumbia 60'
6
Matthew Pollock
10
Imran Louza
34
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Tom Ince 18'
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 79'
33
Egil Selvik
26
Caleb Wiley ↓ Yasser Larouci 78'
25
James Abankwah
11
Rocco Vata

Bench

Coach Tom Cleverley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ismaila Sarr	2
Giorgi Chakvetadze	1
Taylor Moore	1
Scott Twine	1
Ken Sema	1
Tom Dele-Bashiru	1
Will Hughes	1
Ryan Andrews	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2025-04-05 Bristol City FC 2–1 Watford FC W 2025-03-29 Burnley FC 1–0 Bristol City FC L 2025-03-14 Bristol City FC 2–1 Norwich City FC W 2025-03-11 Sheffield United FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-03-08 Bristol City FC 1–1 Hull City AFC D 2025-03-04 Millwall FC 0–2 Bristol City FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-04-05 Bristol City FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2025-03-29 Watford FC 0–0 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-03-15 Oxford United FC 1–0 Watford FC L 2025-03-12 Watford FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-03-08 Watford FC 1–2 Millwall FC L 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.4 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bristol City FC50% Draw28% Watford FC22%

Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Watford FC

50%

Bristol City FC or Watford FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC32% Draw50% Watford FC18%

Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

1 – 0

12.6%

0 – 0

12%

2 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 1

2 – 2

0 – 2

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.