Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bristol City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Ashton Gate 22,505 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross McCrorie 24' 1–0
Nahki Wells 29' 2–0
2–1 80' Mamadou Doumbia

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Ashton Gate.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Marc Perry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Watford FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Burnley FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
11 Mar Sheffield United FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Millwall FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
15 Mar Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Millwall FC H 1–2 L
01 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Watford FC
#12 Position #16
62 Points 57
46 Played 46
17 / 11 / 18 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
59 Scored 53
59 Conceded 65
+0 GD -12
1.35 PPG 1.24
37% Win % 30%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Bristol City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Kwadwo Baah needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Bristol City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 18' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Kwadwo Baah is replaced by Tom Ince.
  • 23' England international Tom Ince has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 24' A stunning finish from Ross McCrorie — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 29' The Bermuda Nahki Wells breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 2-0!
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Liam Manning will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Cleverley might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol City FC that had 387 games and scored 433 goals.
  • 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Bristol City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 60' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Moussa Sissoko by Giorgi Chakvetadze on 60 minute.
  • 63' Sinclair Armstrong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nahki Wells on 63 minute.
  • 64' Bristol City FC ring the changes. Ross McCrorie has done his job and it is now time for Haydon Roberts to step up.
  • 65' The whistle greets Joe Williams as he departs to be replaced by Marcus McGuane.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Bristol City FC player. George Earthy gets a card.
  • 72' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Max Bird is withdrawn and Anis Mehmeti gets his opportunity.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Caleb Wiley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' Yasser Larouci gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Caleb Wiley and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Jeremy Ngakia is withdrawn and Ryan Andrews gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Mamadou Doumbia adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 85' Watford FC have won 391 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Mark Sykes as he leaves the pitch. Sam Bell steps in for Bristol City FC.
  • Bristol City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC51% Draw26% Watford FC23%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
49%
Bristol City FC or Watford FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC34% Draw47% Watford FC19%
Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.