Oxford United FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kassam Stadium.
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Kassam Stadium that hosts another battle between Oxford United FC and Watford FC.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Egil Selvik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 369 games and scored 490 goals.
- 35' Michal Helik needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Hidde ter Avest has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ciaron Brown made 376 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' Francisco Sierralta is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Ince suffering a number of foals already.
- 66' Oxford United FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Przemyslaw Placheta.
- 68' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Hidde ter Avest departs to be replaced by Peter Kioso.
- 73' Jamie Cumming has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 411 appearances.
- 78' Jeremy Ngakia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 79' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. James Abankwah gets a card.
- 82' What a strike from Siriki Dembele! The score is 1-0.
- 84' Watford FC make a change. Giorgi Chakvetadze trudges off to be replaced by Rocco Vata on 84 minutes.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Matt Phillips. He replaces Przemyslaw Placheta on 89 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 4
- 8
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Alex Matos 89'
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Peter Kioso 68'
- 1
-
11
Ole Romeny ↓ Tyler Goodrham 68'
- 47
- 7
- 16
Bench
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 89'
- 21
- 2
- 15
- 20
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 68'
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 68'
- 44
-
18
Alex Matos ↑ 89'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Vakoun Issouf Bayo 68'
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ James Morris 84'
- 3
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 84'
- 10
- 24
- 37
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 84'
- 33
- 25
Bench
- 23
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 68'
-
22
James Morris ↑ 84'
- 26
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 84'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 84'
- 47
- 52
- 58
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Siriki Dembele | 1 |
| Mark Harris | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
Oxford United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Oxford United FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Oxford United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Watford FC
61%
Oxford United FC or Watford FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 22% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.