Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,535 HT 45' · FT 45'
Siriki Dembele 82' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Head-to-Head

2
2
Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Watford FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Watford FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–3 L
22 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
15 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Millwall FC H 1–2 L
01 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Watford FC
#4 Position #12
47 Points 0
46 Played 0
11 / 14 / 21 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
59 Conceded 0
-14 GD +0
1.02 PPG
24% Win %

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts). Watford FC are 12th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Kassam Stadium as Oxford United FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yasser Larouci suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Ole Romeny needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryan Andrews, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Ben Nelson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 235 appearances.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Francisco Sierralta argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 366 games and scored 485 goals.
  • 66' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Przemyslaw Placheta. He receives a card.
  • 68' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Hidde ter Avest by Peter Kioso on 68 minute.
  • 73' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 78' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 79' That looks like a foul for a card for James Abankwah.
  • 82' What a moment for Siriki Dembele! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Giorgi Chakvetadze is replaced by Rocco Vata.
  • 89' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Przemyslaw Placheta departs to be replaced by Matt Phillips.
  • Another three points for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.35 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.35 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 96% + Under — clean sheet likely 88%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC28% Draw50% Watford FC22%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes12% 0% No88%
Avg goals/match: 0.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 47%
53%
± 1.5 17%
83%
± 2.5 4%
96%
± 3.5 1%
99%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
72%
Oxford United FC or Watford FC
50%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC9% Draw82% Watford FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
52.6%
0 – 1
15.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
8%
0 – 2
2.5%
2 – 0
2.4%
1 – 2
1.4%
2 – 1
1.4%
2 – 2
0.4%
0 – 3
0.3%
3 – 0
0.3%
1 – 3
0.2%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 16% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 17% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
70%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
71%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.