Oxford United FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kassam Stadium.
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Oxford United FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #16 |
| 47 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 11 / 14 / 21 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 45 | Scored | 53 |
| 59 | Conceded | 65 |
| -14 | GD | -12 |
| 1.02 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 24% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Kassam Stadium. Oxford United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Watford FC.
- 5' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Giorgi Chakvetadze is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 15' Watford FC come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Oxford United FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Oxford United FC currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Oxford United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Oxford United FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' Controversy at the stadium! Francisco Sierralta argues furiously but the card stands.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Przemyslaw Placheta.
- 68' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 68 minute. Hidde ter Avest leaves to be changed by Peter Kioso.
- 73' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 78' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 79' James Abankwah was booked on 79.
- 82' GOAL! Siriki Dembele fires home to make it 1-0!
- 84' The whistle greets Giorgi Chakvetadze as he departs to be replaced by Rocco Vata.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Matt Phillips. He replaces Przemyslaw Placheta on 89 minute.
- The points are shared — Oxford United FC 1-0 Watford FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 4
- 8
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Alex Matos 89'
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Peter Kioso 68'
- 1
-
11
Ole Romeny ↓ Tyler Goodrham 68'
- 47
- 7
- 16
Bench
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 89'
- 21
- 2
- 15
- 20
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 68'
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 68'
- 44
-
18
Alex Matos ↑ 89'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Vakoun Issouf Bayo 68'
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ James Morris 84'
- 3
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 84'
- 10
- 24
- 37
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 84'
- 33
- 25
Bench
- 23
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 68'
-
22
James Morris ↑ 84'
- 26
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 84'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 84'
- 47
- 52
- 58
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Siriki Dembele | 1 |
| Mark Harris | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
Oxford United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Oxford United FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Oxford United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Watford FC
62%
Oxford United FC or Watford FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.1%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.