Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de Mestalla 40,968 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Pathe Ciss

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–1 L
29 Nov RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
23 Nov Real Betis Balompie H 4–2 W
27 Oct Getafe CF A 1–1 D
21 Oct UD Las Palmas H 2–3 L
04 Oct CD Leganes A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Valencia CF A 1–0 W
01 Dec Athletic Club H 1–2 L
24 Nov Sevilla FC A 0–1 L
08 Nov UD Las Palmas H 1–3 L
26 Oct Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
20 Oct RCD Mallorca A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Valencia CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#9 Position #8
49 Points 50
38 Played 38
13 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
46 Scored 41
55 Conceded 44
-9 GD -3
1.29 PPG 1.32
34% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 7' Pathe Ciss has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 12' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ruben Baraja might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 17' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' Valencia CF currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Gaya by Jesus Vazquez Alcalde on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Valencia CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 52' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 52.
  • 57' named a 5-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Jorge de Frutos departs to be replaced by Adri Embarba.
  • 60' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid make a change. Randy Ntekja trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Camello on 60 minutes.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alvaro Garcia made 229 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' German Valera needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 71' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Isi Palazon gets a card.
  • 72' Yarek Gasiorowski has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Isi Palazon as he leaves the pitch. Pedro Diaz steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 78' The whistle greets Oscar Valentin as he departs to be replaced by Unai Lopez.
  • 83' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 89' Another change for Valencia CF made on 89 minute. Luis Rioja leaves to be changed by Sergi Canos.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Valencia CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 68% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF35% Draw32% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid33%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
67%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
65%
Valencia CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF24% Draw53% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
35%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.