Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.
- Valencia CF 38 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Nov | Real Betis Balompie | H | 4–2 | W |
| 27 Oct | Getafe CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | UD Las Palmas | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | CD Leganes | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Valencia CF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Athletic Club | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sevilla FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | UD Las Palmas | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Deportivo Alaves | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | RCD Mallorca | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Valencia CF | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 49 | Points | 50 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 13 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 12 / 14 / 12 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 55 | Conceded | 44 |
| -9 | GD | -3 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.32 |
| 34% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 7' Pathe Ciss has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
- 12' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ruben Baraja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 17' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' Valencia CF currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Gaya by Jesus Vazquez Alcalde on 46 minute.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Valencia CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 52' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 52.
- 57' named a 5-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 59' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Jorge de Frutos departs to be replaced by Adri Embarba.
- 60' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid make a change. Randy Ntekja trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Camello on 60 minutes.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alvaro Garcia made 229 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' German Valera needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 71' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Isi Palazon gets a card.
- 72' Yarek Gasiorowski has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
- 72' The crowd applauds Isi Palazon as he leaves the pitch. Pedro Diaz steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
- 78' The whistle greets Oscar Valentin as he departs to be replaced by Unai Lopez.
- 83' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 89' Another change for Valencia CF made on 89 minute. Luis Rioja leaves to be changed by Sergi Canos.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid players.
Lineups
Valencia CF Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
14
Gaya ↓ Jesus Vazquez Alcalde 46'
- 9
-
22
Luis Rioja ↓ Sergi Canos 89'
- 25
-
30
German Valera ↓ Rafael Mir 60'
- 3
- 15
-
5
Enzo Barrenechea ↓ Pepelu 60'
- 8
- 16
-
24
Yarek Gasiorowski ↓ Fran Perez 89'
Bench
-
7
Sergi Canos ↑ 89'
- 1
-
11
Rafael Mir ↑ 60'
- 13
-
18
Pepelu ↑ 60'
- 6
- 10
- 17
-
21
Jesus Vazquez Alcalde ↑ 46'
-
23
Fran Perez ↑ 89'
- 38
Coach
Ruben Baraja
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
18
Alvaro Garcia ↓ Ivan Balliu 78'
-
7
Isi Palazon ↓ Pedro Diaz 72'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↓ Unai Lopez 78'
- 13
- 16
- 2
- 6
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↓ Adri Embarba 59'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergio Camello 60'
- 3
Bench
-
20
Ivan Balliu ↑ 78'
- 10
- 15
-
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 78'
- 12
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↑ 72'
-
21
Adri Embarba ↑ 59'
- 8
-
14
Sergio Camello ↑ 60'
- 1
- 22
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Soler | 2 |
| Isi Palazon | 2 |
| Santiago Comesana | 2 |
| Santi Mina | 2 |
| Raul de Tomas | 1 |
| Diego Lopez | 1 |
| Mario Suarez | 1 |
| Florian Lejeune | 1 |
Head to Head
Valencia CF Form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2024-12-07
Valencia CF
0–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
L
2024-11-24
Sevilla FC
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-11-08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–3
UD Las Palmas
L
2024-10-26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Deportivo Alaves
W
2024-10-20
RCD Mallorca
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09
Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for:
Valencia CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 68% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Valencia CF or Draw
67%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
65%
Valencia CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Valencia CF
| Handicap | Valencia CF covers | Push | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

