Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Fri 16 Aug 2024 · 18:45 UTC Donaustadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
SSV Ulm 1846 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
09 Aug SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–1 L
04 Aug 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–2 L
07 Aug 1. FC Nürnberg H 0–1 L
22 Dec FC Schalke 04 H 1–3 L
12 Sep FC Erzgebirge Aue H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SSV Ulm 1846 have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Min-Jae Kim has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 192 appearances.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 12' Brilliant from the ! Thomas Muller makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 12.
  • 14' Assisted by Serge Gnabry with the perfectly-timed delivery and Thomas Muller makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 24' France international Michael Olise has been a key figure this campaign — 5 goals and 10 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Luka Hyrylainen is booked for SSV Ulm 1846 — card on 29.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' SSV Ulm 1846 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marvin Seybold is hanging Christian Ortag on the field on 37 minute.
  • 42' A quiet spell here at Donaustadion. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Johannes Reichert.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 60' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 62' Aaron Keller is replacing Dennis Chessa for the SSV Ulm 1846 side.
  • 63' Maurice Krattenmacher makes way for Jonathan Meier at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from SSV Ulm 1846.
  • 68' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Joshua Kimmich on 74 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
  • 76' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Serge Gnabry is replaced by Michael Olise on 76 minute.
  • 77' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Joao Palhinha comes on to replace Aleksandar Pavlovic.
  • 78' Another change for SSV Ulm 1846 made on 78 minute. Max Brandt leaves to be changed by Niklas Kolle.
  • 79' What composure from Kingsley Coman! The France international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 84' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thomas Worle might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Dayot Upamecano trudges off to be replaced by Alphonso Davies on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SSV Ulm 1846 0-4 FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSV Ulm 184623% Draw25% FC Bayern München52%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
47%
Draw or FC Bayern München
77%
SSV Ulm 1846 or FC Bayern München
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSV Ulm 184616% Draw41% FC Bayern München43%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 3
6%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 22% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.