VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Dec | VfB Stuttgart | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | Manchester United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–5 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC København | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Nov | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 29 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 45 | Scored | 122 |
| 69 | Conceded | 36 |
| -24 | GD | +86 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 21% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München get this one started.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Vaclav Cerny needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 11' The referee has no hesitation. Cedric Zesiger is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — Yellow card on 11.
- 12' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Cedric Zesiger.
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lovro Majer, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 4 goals in the last 2 games.
- 20' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a Yellow card on 20.
- 25' Dayot Upamecano, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' It’s high time Niko Kovać made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 33' What composure from Jamal Musiala! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' Harry Kane adds to his 20 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 46' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Lovro Majer.
- 46' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Cedric Zesiger departs to be replaced by Rogerio.
- 46' What a moment for Maximilian Arnold! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 51' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 52' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Lovro Majer is replaced by Tiago Tomas on 52 minute.
- 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thomas Tuchel might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 59' The referee calls foul for Ridle Baku. He receives a Yellow card.
- 63' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Thomas Muller is withdrawn and Matthijs de Ligt gets his opportunity.
- 68' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 72' Mattias Svanberg makes way for Kevin Paredes at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
- 77' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 82' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 84' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Ridle Baku is withdrawn and Vaclav Cerny gets his opportunity.
- 89' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' Tiago Tomas picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Maxim Choupo-Moting on, Jamal Musiala off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 27
-
20
Ridle Baku ↓ Vaclav Cerny 84'
- 32
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Tiago Tomas 52'
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
5
Cedric Zesiger ↓ Rogerio 46'
- 25
Bench
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↑ 84'
- 8
- 12
-
13
Rogerio ↑ 46'
- 16
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↑ 72'
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 52'
- 2
Coach
Niko Kovać
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 9
- 1
- 25
- 22
- 2
- 27
- 19
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
-
4
Matthijs de Ligt ↑ 63'
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 90'
- 18
- 39
- 41
- 36
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 10 |
| Jamal Musiala | 6 |
| Thomas Muller | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Serge Gnabry | 3 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| James Rodriguez | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
FC Bayern München Form
2023-12-20
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2023-12-17
FC Bayern München
3–0
VfB Stuttgart
W
2023-12-12
Manchester United FC
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2023-12-09
Eintracht Frankfurt
5–1
FC Bayern München
L
2023-11-29
FC Bayern München
0–0
FC København
D
2023-11-24
1. FC Koln
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.17
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + FC Bayern München to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
32%
Draw or FC Bayern München
85%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 3
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 4
5.9%
1 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 5
4%
0 – 5
3.8%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -0.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| +0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| +1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +2 | 41% | 20% | 39% |
| +2.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.