VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfB Stuttgart

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Felix Zwayer

16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
23 Oct	Fenerbahçe SK	A	0–1	L
18 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–0	W
05 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–0	W
02 Oct	FC Basel 1893	A	0–2	L
28 Sep	1. FC Köln	A	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
18 Oct	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–4	L
05 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		1. FSV Mainz 05
#8	Position	#12
12	Points	10
9	Played	9
4 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 5
15	Scored	18
15	Conceded	19
+0	GD	-1
1.33	PPG	1.11
44%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Ermedin Demirovic	5 G
Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Maximilian Mittelstadt	2 G	1 A
Bilal El Khannouss	2 G
Grischa Promel	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the football do the talking.
Another three points for VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Maximilian Mittelstadt	1

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-10-23 Fenerbahçe SK 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-10-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-10-05 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-10-02 FC Basel 1893 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-09-28 1. FC Köln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.25 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart56% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

77%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

44%

VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart39% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.6%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

4.1%

4 – 1

3.6%

0 – 0

3.4%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	20%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.