VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
34 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 6.9 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 26 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W 23 Oct Fenerbahce SK A 0–1 L 18 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 3–0 W 05 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W 02 Oct FC Basel 1893 A 0–2 L 28 Sep 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L 18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L 05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L 27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L 20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W 13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L Season Stats
VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05 #4 Position #10 62 Points 40 34 Played 34 18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14 71 Scored 44 49 Conceded 53 +22 GD -9 1.82 PPG 1.18 53% Win % 29% Key Stats
67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonVfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart0-152/216-303/231-453/346-602/261-752/176+3/3■ Scored ■ Conceded1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
- With this win, VfB Stuttgart is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Sehrou Guirassy 5 Silas Wamangituka 2 Sasa Kalajdzic 2 Jamie Leweling 2 Borna Sosa 2 Alexander Hack 2 Marcus Ingvartsen 2 Marc-Oliver Kempf 1 Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.24 VfB Stuttgart xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.19 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 62%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.43Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 85% 15% ± 2.5 66% 34% ± 3.5 44% 56% ± 4.5 26% 74% Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw 82%Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05 39%VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 79%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 9.4%2 – 1 Actual2 – 0 8.1%3 – 1 6.9%1 – 0 6.7%3 – 0 5.9%2 – 2 5.5%1 – 2 5%0 – 0 4.6%3 – 2 4.2%4 – 1 3.9%4 – 0 3.3%Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers -2.5 20% — 80% -2 20% 18% 62% -1.5 38% — 62% -1 38% 21% 40% -0.5 60% — 40% +0.5 81% — 19% +1 81% 11% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 5% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet 31% ✓1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 12% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

