Sunday , 16 August 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Valencia CF
1 – 2
Full Time
Real Madrid CF
Fri 3 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla 46,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
1–1 85' Luka Modric
1–2 90+5' Jude Bellingham
Y 36' Dani Ceballos
Sergi Canos 69' Y
Stole Dimitrievski 78' Y
Y 78' Lucas Vazquez
R 79' Vinicius Junior
Y 87' Luka Modric

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Carlos Alvarez Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Becerril Gomez (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 RCD Mallorca 38 42
2 Girona FC 38 41
3 Real Oviedo 38 29
4 Deportivo Alavés 1 3
5 Sevilla FC 1 3
6 Real Racing Club de Santander 1 1
7 Villarreal CF 1 1
8 RC Deportivo La Coruña 0 0
9 Málaga CF 0 0
10 FC Barcelona 0 0
11 Real Madrid CF 0 0
12 Club Atlético de Madrid 0 0
13 Real Betis Balompié 0 0
14 RC Celta de Vigo 0 0
15 Valencia CF 0 0
16 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0 0
17 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0 0
18 Athletic Club 0 0
19 Elche CF 0 0
20 Levante UD 0 0
21 CA Osasuna 0 0
22 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 0
23 Getafe CF 1 0

Head-to-Head

4
2
12
Valencia CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Real Madrid CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF

Recent Form

Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
22 Dec Deportivo Alavés H 2–2 D
18 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–1 D
13 Dec Real Valladolid CF A 0–1 L
07 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–1 L
29 Nov RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#15 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 15th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio de Mestalla. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Federico Valverde has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 545 appearances.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' Brilliant from the ! Hugo Duro makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 27.
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Dani Ceballos on 36 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 51' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Valencia CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 61' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Valencia CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Sergi Canos on, Diego Lopez off on 68 minutes.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Sergi Canos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Valencia CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Stole Dimitrievski argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Vinicius Junior on 79 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 80' Luka Modric is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dani Ceballos at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' Luka Modric is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Luka Modric.
  • 88' The Valencia CF bench stirs into life. Andre Almeida is withdrawn and Dani Gomez gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Real Madrid CF make a change. Jude Bellingham trudges off to be replaced by Raul on 90 minutes.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Real Madrid CF players.

Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Baraja

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Antonio Rudiger 1

Head to Head

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF

Valencia CF Form

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF L 2024-12-22 Valencia CF 2–2 Deportivo Alavés D 2024-12-18 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–1 Valencia CF D 2024-12-13 Real Valladolid CF 1–0 Valencia CF L 2024-12-07 Valencia CF 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2024-11-29 RCD Mallorca 2–1 Valencia CF L

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-22 Real Madrid CF 4–2 Sevilla FC W 2024-12-18 Real Madrid CF 3–0 CF Pachuca W 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF D 2024-12-10 Atalanta BC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-07 Girona FC 0–3 Real Madrid CF W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.62 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF21% Draw32% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
53%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
79%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF13% Draw57% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.6%
0 – 1
18.3%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
4%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 4
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 13% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 26% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 14% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
54% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.