Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Valencia CF
1 – 2
Full Time
Real Madrid CF
Fri 3 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla 46,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
1–1 85' Luka Modric
1–2 90+5' Jude Bellingham
Y 36' Dani Ceballos
Sergi Canos 69' Y
Stole Dimitrievski 78' Y
Y 78' Lucas Vazquez
R 79' Vinicius Junior
Y 87' Luka Modric

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Carlos Alvarez Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Becerril Gomez (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 16.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Barcelona 7 21
2 Club Atlético de Madrid 7 16
3 Real Betis Balompié 7 16
4 Real Madrid CF 7 15
5 Sevilla FC 7 13
6 Deportivo Alavés 7 11
7 RC Deportivo La Coruña 7 10
8 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 7 10
9 CA Osasuna 7 8
10 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 8
11 Villarreal CF 7 8
12 Athletic Club 6 8
13 Getafe CF 7 8
14 RC Celta de Vigo 7 7
15 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 7 7
16 Real Racing Club de Santander 7 7
17 Levante UD 6 5
18 Elche CF 7 5
19 Valencia CF 7 4
20 Málaga CF 7 3

Head-to-Head

4
2
12
Valencia CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Real Madrid CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF

Recent Form

Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
22 Dec Deportivo Alavés H 2–2 D
18 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–1 D
13 Dec Real Valladolid CF A 0–1 L
07 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–1 L
29 Nov RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#19 Position #4
4 Points 15
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
4 Scored 18
13 Conceded 8
-9 GD +10
0.57 PPG 2.14
14% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Valencia CF are 19th (4 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio de Mestalla will turn into a battlefield for Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Valencia CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Rodrygo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 79 goals in his last 290 appearances.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Valencia CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 27' Magnificent from Hugo Duro! That is 38 goals in 316 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 32' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dani Ceballos on 36 minutes.
  • 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' It is a cagey affair so far. Valencia CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Federico Valverde has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Valencia CF team. Diego Lopez is replaced by Sergi Canos on 68 minute.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Sergi Canos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 78' It’s gonna be a card for Stole Dimitrievski.
  • 79' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Dani Ceballos is replaced by Luka Modric.
  • 85' What a moment for Luka Modric! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 87' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Luka Modric gets a card.
  • 88' Dani Gomez gets the nod from Valencia CF. He replaces Andre Almeida and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Jude Bellingham by Raul on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Real Madrid CF take all three points.

Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Baraja

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Raphael Varane 1

Head to Head

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF

Valencia CF Form

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF L 2024-12-22 Valencia CF 2–2 Deportivo Alavés D 2024-12-18 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–1 Valencia CF D 2024-12-13 Real Valladolid CF 1–0 Valencia CF L 2024-12-07 Valencia CF 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2024-11-29 RCD Mallorca 2–1 Valencia CF L

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-22 Real Madrid CF 4–2 Sevilla FC W 2024-12-18 Real Madrid CF 3–0 CF Pachuca W 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF D 2024-12-10 Atalanta BC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-07 Girona FC 0–3 Real Madrid CF W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Real Madrid CF to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF15% Draw19% Real Madrid CF66%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
34%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
85%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF10% Draw35% Real Madrid CF55%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.5%
0 – 3
9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 4
5.9%
1 – 4
5.1%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
0 – 5
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 6% 91%
-0.5 9% — 91%
+0.5 26% — 74%
+1 26% 21% 53%
+1.5 47% — 53%
+2 47% 21% 32%
+2.5 68% — 32%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.