Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.
- Valencia CF 12 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Carlos Alvarez Fernandez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Ruben Becerril Gomez (Spain)
4 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompie | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Futbol | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Villarreal CF | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | RC Celta de Vigo | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alaves | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Osasuna | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Getafe CF | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 12 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga CF | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Deportivo Alaves | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Dec | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Dec | Real Valladolid CF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan | Valencia CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Sevilla FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Dec | CF Pachuca | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Dec | Girona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Valencia CF | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #2 |
| 9 | Points | 30 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 2 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 2 |
| 8 | Scored | 31 |
| 20 | Conceded | 10 |
| -12 | GD | +21 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 17% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
Valencia CF this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Valencia CF are 19th (9 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Valencia CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Valencia CF
| Umar Sadiq | 2 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 13 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 4 G | 3 A |
| Arda Guler | 3 G | 4 A |
| Yan Diomande | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Mestalla!
- 5' Brahim Diaz, a Morocco , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Spain international Raul has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Antonio Rudiger has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 419 appearances.
- 20' Thibaut Courtois is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' GOAL! Hugo Duro scores on 27.
- 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cristhian Mosquera suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' Dani Ceballos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Real Madrid CF winning 100% of all matches.
- 56' Valencia CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
- 61' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Arda Guler scoring 1 goals.
- 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' Time for substitution for Valencia CF. Diego Lopez is replaced by Sergi Canos.
- 69' Sergi Canos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
- 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Stole Dimitrievski on 78 minutes.
- 79' Vinicius Junior is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
- 80' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 80 minute. Dani Ceballos leaves to be changed by Luka Modric.
- 85' Luka Modric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
- 87' The referee has no hesitation. Luka Modric is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 87.
- 88' The crowd applauds Andre Almeida as he leaves the pitch. Dani Gomez steps in for Valencia CF.
- 90' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Raul.
- Valencia CF will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Valencia CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 20
- 9
- 22
- 13
-
10
Andre Almeida ↓ Dani Gomez 88'
- 3
- 15
- 5
-
8
Javier Guerra ↓ Hugo Guillamon 68'
-
16
Diego Lopez ↓ Sergi Canos 68'
- 24
Bench
-
7
Sergi Canos ↑ 68'
- 1
- 2
-
6
Hugo Guillamon ↑ 68'
- 30
-
17
Dani Gomez ↑ 88'
-
21
Jesus Vazquez Alcalde ↑ 88'
- 31
- 32
- 35
- 38
Coach
Ruben Baraja
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
- 9
- 23
- 14
- 17
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Luka Modric 80'
- 8
- 7
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 68'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Raul 90'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 68'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 80'
- 18
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 68'
- 15
- 16
- 20
- 26
-
35
Raul ↑ 90'
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 10 |
| Karim Benzema | 9 |
| Hugo Duro | 5 |
| Carlos Soler | 4 |
| Goncalo Guedes | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Rodrigo | 1 |
Head to Head
Valencia CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84
Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Valencia CF or Draw
34%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
85%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 3
9.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 4
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
0 – 5
3%
Asian Handicap — Valencia CF
| Handicap | Valencia CF covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| +0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| +1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +2 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +2.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.