Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Valencia CF
1 – 2
Full Time
Real Madrid CF
Fri 3 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla 46,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
1–1 85' Luka Modric
1–2 90+5' Jude Bellingham
Y 36' Dani Ceballos
Sergi Canos 69' Y
Stole Dimitrievski 78' Y
Y 78' Lucas Vazquez
R 79' Vinicius Junior
Y 87' Luka Modric

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Carlos Alvarez Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Becerril Gomez (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid CF 38 86
3 Villarreal CF 38 72
4 Club Atletico de Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Balompie 38 60
6 RC Celta de Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe CF 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 50
9 Valencia CF 38 49
10 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 38 46
11 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 38 46
12 Athletic Club 38 45
13 Elche CF 38 43
14 Deportivo Alaves 38 43
15 Sevilla FC 38 43
16 CA Osasuna 38 42
17 RCD Mallorca 38 42
18 Levante UD 38 42
19 Girona FC 38 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 29

Head-to-Head

4
2
12
Valencia CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Real Madrid CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF

Recent Form

Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
22 Dec Deportivo Alaves H 2–2 D
18 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–1 D
13 Dec Real Valladolid CF A 0–1 L
07 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–1 L
29 Nov RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#9 Position #2
49 Points 86
38 Played 38
13 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
46 Scored 77
55 Conceded 35
-9 GD +42
1.29 PPG 2.26
34% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio de Mestalla. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' It’s high time Ruben Baraja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The 25-year-old Rodrygo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' The Spain Hugo Duro breaks the deadlock on 27 minutes. 1-0!
  • 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ruben Baraja might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 36' Dani Ceballos was booked on 36.
  • 41' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 51' North Macedonia international Stole Dimitrievski has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' Antonio Rudiger, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' Valencia CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 66' Valencia CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 68' Valencia CF ring the changes. Diego Lopez has done his job and it is now time for Sergi Canos to step up.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Valencia CF player. Sergi Canos gets a card.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raul suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Stole Dimitrievski is booked for Valencia CF — card on 78.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 80' Luka Modric gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Dani Ceballos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Luka Modric adds to his 1 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 87' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 88' Fresh legs for Valencia CF! Dani Gomez comes on to replace Andre Almeida.
  • 90' Raul gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Jude Bellingham and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Baraja

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Rodrigo 1

Head to Head

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF

Valencia CF Form

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF L 2024-12-22 Valencia CF 2–2 Deportivo Alaves D 2024-12-18 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–1 Valencia CF D 2024-12-13 Real Valladolid CF 1–0 Valencia CF L 2024-12-07 Valencia CF 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2024-11-29 RCD Mallorca 2–1 Valencia CF L

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-01-03 Valencia CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-22 Real Madrid CF 4–2 Sevilla FC W 2024-12-18 Real Madrid CF 3–0 CF Pachuca W 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF D 2024-12-10 Atalanta BC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-07 Girona FC 0–3 Real Madrid CF W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF20% Draw23% Real Madrid CF57%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
43%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
80%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF16% Draw40% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 3
6.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 22% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.