Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 22 Dec 2024 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,227 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 10' 1–0
Federico Valverde 20' 2–0
Rodrygo 34' 3–0
3–1 35' Isaac
Brahim Diaz 53' 4–1
4–2 85' Dodi Lukebakio

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FCLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera
  • Assistant 1 Diego Santaursula Aguado (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ivan Hernandez Ramos (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W
04 Dec Athletic Club A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec Real Madrid CF A 2–4 L
14 Dec RC Celta de Vigo H 1–0 W
08 Dec Club Atletico de Madrid A 3–4 L
02 Dec CA Osasuna H 1–1 D
24 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–0 W
09 Nov CD Leganes A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Sevilla FC
#2 Position #15
86 Points 43
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 19
77 Scored 46
35 Conceded 60
+42 GD -14
2.26 PPG 1.13
71% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Sevilla FC are 15th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Real Madrid CF launch into their encounter with Sevilla FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' What a moment for Kylian Mbappe! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 12' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Albert Sambi Lokonga.
  • 17' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sevilla FC backline.
  • 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Federico Valverde makes it 2-0.
  • 25' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 34' The deadlock is broken! Rodrygo gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
  • 35' The deadlock is broken! Isaac gets on the scoresheet on 35 minutes.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Carlo Ancelotti.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' GOAL! Brahim Diaz fires home to make it 4-1!
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' Dodi Lukebakio, a Belgium , has 27 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 65' Jesus Navas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo on 65 minute.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Rodrygo as he leaves the pitch. Luka Modric steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 73' Peque is replacing Juanlu for the Sevilla FC side.
  • 74' Sevilla FC ring the changes. Isaac has done his job and it is now time for Alvaro Garcia to step up.
  • 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kike Salas on 76 minutes.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Raul on 77 minute.
  • 78' Federico Valverde has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 83' Manuel Bueno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 85' Against the run of play, Dodi Lukebakio has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 86' Another substitution for Sevilla FC to replace Kike Salas by Gonzalo Montiel on 86 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Real Madrid CF 4-2 Sevilla FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.91 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Sevilla FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Real Madrid CF to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF71% Draw17% Sevilla FC12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
88%
Draw or Sevilla FC
29%
Real Madrid CF or Sevilla FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF55% Draw33% Sevilla FC12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
5 – 1
3.4%
5 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Sevilla FC covers
-2.5 34% 66%
-2 34% 20% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 19% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
35%
Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.