Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Dani Carvajal 3' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 42' 2–0
Vinicius Junior 49' 3–0
Rodrygo 50' 4–0
Rodrygo 84' 5–0
5–1 88' Hugo Duro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CFLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Valencia CF H 5–1 W
08 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
05 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–0 D
28 Oct FC Barcelona A 2–1 W
24 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
21 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Real Madrid CF A 1–5 L
05 Nov Granada CF H 1–0 W
29 Oct Athletic Club A 2–2 D
23 Oct Cadiz CF H 2–0 W
07 Oct RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Oct Real Betis Balompié A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#10 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts). Valencia CF are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF get this one started.
  • 3' Assisted by Toni Kroos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dani Carvajal makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 8' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 13' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 18' Valencia CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Valencia CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' Pepelu is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Valencia CF that had 422 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 42' Vinicius Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 49' Vinicius Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 50' Magnificent from Rodrygo! That is 79 goals in 286 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 54' Thierry Correia makes way for Dimitri Foulquier at the 54 minute mark. A tactical switch from Valencia CF.
  • 56' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 56.
  • 59' Luka Modric is replacing Federico Valverde for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 62' A moment of madness from Eduardo Camavinga on 62 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Hugo Guillamon. He replaces Sergi Canos on 64 minute.
  • 67' It’s a booking for Valencia CF player. Gabriel Paulista gets a Yellow card.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Roman Yaremchuk. He replaces Pepelu on 70 minute.
  • 71' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Ferland Mendy exits the field as Fran Garcia enters on 71.
  • 76' It’s high time Ruben Baraja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 82' Joselu gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Dani Carvajal and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rodrygo makes it 5-0.
  • 88' Magnificent from Hugo Duro! That is 38 goals in 313 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 5-1 the final result. Valencia CF will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.4 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 74% + Under 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF63% Draw26% Valencia CF11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
89%
Draw or Valencia CF
37%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF41% Draw53% Valencia CF6%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
21.9%
0 – 0
17.6%
2 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 1
3.4%
4 – 0
2.9%
1 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.4%
4 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 20% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 29% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
67%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.