Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Dani Carvajal 3' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 42' 2–0
Vinicius Junior 49' 3–0
Rodrygo 50' 4–0
Rodrygo 84' 5–0
5–1 88' Hugo Duro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Valencia CF H 5–1 W
08 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
05 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–0 D
28 Oct FC Barcelona A 2–1 W
24 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
21 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Real Madrid CF A 1–5 L
05 Nov Granada CF H 1–0 W
29 Oct Athletic Club A 2–2 D
23 Oct Cadiz CF H 2–0 W
07 Oct RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Oct Real Betis Balompié A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#4 Position #19
15 Points 4
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
18 Scored 4
8 Conceded 13
+10 GD -9
2.14 PPG 0.57
71% Win % 14%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Santiago Bernabeu that hosts another battle between Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF.
  • 3' Dani Carvajal is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 8' Hugo Gonzalez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valencia CF so far.
  • 13' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 18' Valencia CF is showing some good football. However, Valencia CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 23' Javier Guerra, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 34' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 34.
  • 39' Hugo Guillamon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 42' Vinicius Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
  • 47' Thierry Correia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' A goal from the Brazil international Vinicius Junior! He fires home on 49 to make it 3-0!
  • 50' Magnificent from Rodrygo! That is 79 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 54' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Dimitri Foulquier on, Thierry Correia off on 54 minutes.
  • 56' Dimitri Foulquier was booked on 56.
  • 59' Luka Modric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Valverde on 59 minute.
  • 62' A moment of madness from Eduardo Camavinga on 62 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Hugo Guillamon on, Sergi Canos off on 64 minutes.
  • 67' That is a Yellow card for Valencia CF. Gabriel Paulista will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Roman Yaremchuk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pepelu on 70 minute.
  • 71' Fran Garcia gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Ferland Mendy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 82' Joselu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dani Carvajal on 82 minute.
  • 84' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 5-0.
  • 88' What a moment for Hugo Duro! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
  • Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.28 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF79% Draw13% Valencia CF8%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
92%
Draw or Valencia CF
21%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF67% Draw28% Valencia CF5%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.5%
4 – 0
9.7%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.6%
5 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
5.9%
1 – 1
4.6%
5 – 1
Actual
6 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 49% — 51%
-2 49% 21% 30%
-1.5 70% — 30%
-1 70% 16% 14%
-0.5 86% — 14%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
55% ✗
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.