Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- Valencia CF 38 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
9 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Valencia CF | H | 5–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | FC Barcelona | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sevilla FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Nov | Granada CF | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Athletic Club | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Oct | Cadiz CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Real Betis Balompie | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 86 | Points | 49 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 27 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 15 |
| 77 | Scored | 46 |
| 35 | Conceded | 55 |
| +42 | GD | -9 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 71% | Win % | 34% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF has kicked off!
- 3' The deadlock is broken! Dani Carvajal gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
- 8' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 13' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 18' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 28' Sergi Canos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 344 appearances.
- 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pepelu on 34.
- 39' Andriy Lunin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 42' Vinicius Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 49' A stunning finish from Vinicius Junior — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 50' Against the run of play, Rodrygo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Thierry Correia departs to be replaced by Dimitri Foulquier.
- 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dimitri Foulquier on 56 minutes.
- 59' Luka Modric is ready to make an impact after coming on for Federico Valverde at the 59 minute mark.
- 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Eduardo Camavinga.
- 64' The Valencia CF bench stirs into life. Sergi Canos is withdrawn and Hugo Guillamon gets his opportunity.
- 67' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 67.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Roman Yaremchuk. He replaces Pepelu on 70 minute.
- 71' Fran Garcia is replacing Ferland Mendy for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
- 81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 82' Joselu gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Dani Carvajal and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Magnificent from Rodrygo! That is 79 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' GOAL! Hugo Duro fires home to make it 5-1!
- Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Lucas Vazquez 71'
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 71'
- 4
- 13
- 8
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Luka Modric 59'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Joselu 82'
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↓ Nico Paz 82'
- 11
- 12
Bench
-
14
Joselu ↑ 82'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 59'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 71'
- 26
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 71'
- 30
-
32
Nico Paz ↑ 82'
- 37
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Valencia CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Sergi Canos ↓ Hugo Guillamon 64'
- 5
-
14
Gaya ↓ Yarek Gasiorowski 54'
- 9
-
18
Pepelu ↓ Roman Yaremchuk 70'
- 25
- 12
- 3
-
23
Fran Perez ↓ Hugo Gonzalez 70'
- 8
- 16
Bench
- 1
- 13
-
20
Dimitri Foulquier ↑ 54'
-
17
Roman Yaremchuk ↑ 70'
-
6
Hugo Guillamon ↑ 64'
- 27
- 15
- 21
-
30
Hugo Gonzalez ↑ 70'
-
34
Yarek Gasiorowski ↑ 54'
Coach
Ruben Baraja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 10 |
| Karim Benzema | 9 |
| Hugo Duro | 5 |
| Carlos Soler | 4 |
| Goncalo Guedes | 3 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Toni Kroos | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
2023-11-11
Real Madrid CF
5–1
Valencia CF
W
2023-11-08
Real Madrid CF
3–0
Sporting Clube de Braga
W
2023-11-05
Real Madrid CF
0–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
D
2023-10-28
FC Barcelona
1–2
Real Madrid CF
W
2023-10-24
Sporting Clube de Braga
1–2
Real Madrid CF
W
2023-10-21
Sevilla FC
1–1
Real Madrid CF
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.73
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Valencia CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
89%
Draw or Valencia CF
28%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
3 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.1%
4 – 0
6.6%
4 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
5 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Valencia CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -2 | 35% | 21% | 44% |
| -1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 20% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

