Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Dani Carvajal 3' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 42' 2–0
Vinicius Junior 49' 3–0
Rodrygo 50' 4–0
Rodrygo 84' 5–0
5–1 88' Hugo Duro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CFLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Valencia CF H 5–1 W
08 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
05 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–0 D
28 Oct FC Barcelona A 2–1 W
24 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
21 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Real Madrid CF A 1–5 L
05 Nov Granada CF H 1–0 W
29 Oct Athletic Club A 2–2 D
23 Oct Cadiz CF H 2–0 W
07 Oct RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Oct Real Betis Balompie A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#2 Position #9
86 Points 49
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 10 / 15
77 Scored 46
35 Conceded 55
+42 GD -9
2.26 PPG 1.29
71% Win % 34%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF has kicked off!
  • 3' The deadlock is broken! Dani Carvajal gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
  • 8' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 13' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 18' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Valencia CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' Sergi Canos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 344 appearances.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pepelu on 34.
  • 39' Andriy Lunin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 42' Vinicius Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 49' A stunning finish from Vinicius Junior — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 50' Against the run of play, Rodrygo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Thierry Correia departs to be replaced by Dimitri Foulquier.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dimitri Foulquier on 56 minutes.
  • 59' Luka Modric is ready to make an impact after coming on for Federico Valverde at the 59 minute mark.
  • 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 64' The Valencia CF bench stirs into life. Sergi Canos is withdrawn and Hugo Guillamon gets his opportunity.
  • 67' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 67.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Roman Yaremchuk. He replaces Pepelu on 70 minute.
  • 71' Fran Garcia is replacing Ferland Mendy for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
  • 81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 82' Joselu gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Dani Carvajal and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Magnificent from Rodrygo! That is 79 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' GOAL! Hugo Duro fires home to make it 5-1!
  • Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.73 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF72% Draw17% Valencia CF11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
89%
Draw or Valencia CF
28%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF57% Draw34% Valencia CF9%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
3 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.1%
4 – 0
6.6%
4 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
5 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 35% 65%
-2 35% 21% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 20% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
46%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.