V-Varen Nagasaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

V-Varen Nagasaki

1 – 1

Full Time

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Fri 21 Oct 2016 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo — Primeira Liga .

V-Varen Nagasaki 0 games · 0 pts
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

V-Varen Nagasaki 2.00

Draw 3.20

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4.00

Head-to-Head

V-Varen Nagasaki 10 games · Avg 2.7 goals Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-21 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2016-03-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2015-11-01 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2015-04-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–2 V-Varen Nagasaki 2014-11-29 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
02 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	1–0	W
25 Sep	Gamba Osaka	H	2–0	W
16 Sep	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	0–2	L
11 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
28 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–0	W

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	1–1	D
02 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
23 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	1–3	L
18 Sep	Kingstonian FC	H	1–2	L
11 Sep	Jubilo Iwata	A	0–3	L
28 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–2	D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. V-Varen Nagasaki kicks off things out of here…
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chanathip Songkrasin	2
Jay Bothroyd	2
Chanathip Songkrasin	2
Jay Bothroyd	2
Jordy Buijs	1
Shunya Yoneda	1
Ken Tokura	1
Hijiri Onaga	1

Head to Head

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2016-10-21 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2016-10-02 FC Tōkyō 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2016-09-25 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–0 Gamba Osaka W 2016-09-16 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2016-09-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2016-08-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki W

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Form

2016-10-21 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2016-10-02 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2016-09-23 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2016-09-18 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Kingstonian FC L 2016-09-11 Jubilo Iwata 3–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2016-08-28 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.48 V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

V-Varen Nagasaki50% Draw27% Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw

78%

Draw or Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

50%

V-Varen Nagasaki or Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

V-Varen Nagasaki34% Draw49% Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo17%

Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.4%

0 – 0

11.2%

2 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

8.8%

0 – 1

7.2%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

4.4%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap	V-Varen Nagasaki covers	Push	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	24%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.