Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Udinese Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Mon 23 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 20,505 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moise Kean pen 8' 1–0
1–1 49' Lorenzo Lucca
1–2 57' Florian Thauvin

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Udinese CalcioSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni
9 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 21.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec Udinese Calcio H 1–2 L
15 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–1 L
08 Dec Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
24 Nov Como 1907 A 2–0 W
10 Nov Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
03 Nov Torino FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
14 Dec SSC Napoli H 1–3 L
09 Dec AC Monza A 2–1 W
01 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–2 L
25 Nov Empoli FC A 1–1 D
10 Nov Atalanta BC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Udinese Calcio
#15 Position #10
42 Points 50
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 14 / 8 / 16
41 Scored 45
50 Conceded 48
-9 GD -3
1.11 PPG 1.32
24% Win % 37%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.35 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Udinese Calcio xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Udinese Calcio 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina39% Draw29% Udinese Calcio32%
Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
68%
Draw or Udinese Calcio
61%
ACF Fiorentina or Udinese Calcio
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina27% Draw48% Udinese Calcio25%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Udinese Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
29%
Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.