AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
- AS Roma 11 games · 27 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
- Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
5 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Juventus FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | US Lecce | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | AS Roma | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Empoli FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Cagliari Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | AC Milan | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #15 |
| 27 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 8 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 6 |
| 31 | Scored | 17 |
| 10 | Conceded | 25 |
| +21 | GD | -8 |
| 2.45 | PPG | 0.82 |
| 73% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
55%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 8 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Mora | 4 G | |
| Matias Soule | 3 G | 3 A |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 3 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 2 G |
ACF Fiorentina
| Mateo Pellegrino | 4 G | |
| Franco Mastantuono | 4 G | |
| Alieu Njie | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Olimpico, Rome!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with AS Roma winning 100% of all matches.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yacine Adli made 534 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' AS Roma have won 647 goals from 542 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' Gianluca Mancini, a Italy , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' AS Roma currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' The whistle greets Robin Gosens as he departs to be replaced by Nicolo Fagioli.
- 50' AS Roma is taking the lead after the goal scored by Artem Dovbyk on 45.
- 55' Albert Gudmundsson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolo Zaniolo, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 61' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Albert Gudmundsson on, Nicolo Zaniolo off on 61 minutes.
- 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cher Ndour.
- 65' Another change for AS Roma made on 65 minute. Eldor Shomurodov leaves to be changed by Tommaso Baldanzi.
- 70' AS Roma are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
- 71' Andrea Colpani is ready to make an impact after coming on for Amir Richardson at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' Rolando Mandragora needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 77' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Artem Dovbyk is withdrawn and Stephan El Shaarawy gets his opportunity.
- 82' Angelino has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 85' Moise Kean catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Matias Soule.
- 90' It’s a booking for AS Roma player. Niccolo Pisilli gets a card.
- 90' The whistle greets Cher Ndour as he departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3
-
19
Zeki Celik ↓ Devyne Rensch 77'
- 5
- 23
- 7
- 4
- 14
- 99
- 11
- 17
- 18
Bench
- 15
- 21
- 95
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 77'
- 16
- 56
- 25
- 12
-
2
Devyne Rensch ↑ 77'
-
35
Tommaso Baldanzi ↑ 65'
- 34
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 65'
-
61
Niccolo Pisilli ↑ 46'
- 70
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 43
- 18
- 20
-
21
Robin Gosens ↓ Nicolo Fagioli 46'
- 17
- 8
-
5
Marin Pongracic ↓ Lucas Beltran 71'
- 65
- 24
-
27
Cher Ndour ↓ Yacine Adli 90'
- 15
Bench
-
10
Albert Gudmundsson ↑ 61'
-
29
Yacine Adli ↑ 90'
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↑ 71'
- 1
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↑ 71'
-
44
Nicolo Fagioli ↑ 46'
- 90
- 30
- 63
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Veretout | 5 |
| Paulo Dybala | 3 |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | 3 |
| Donyell Malen | 3 |
| Moise Kean | 2 |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | 2 |
| Nikola Milenkovic | 2 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.97
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + AS Roma to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
86%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
32%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
8%
3 – 0
7.7%
1 – 1
6.3%
4 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
5 – 1
3.6%
5 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -2 | 35% | 20% | 44% |
| -1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

