AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
- AS Roma 5 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
- Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
3 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 8.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Juventus FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | US Lecce | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | AS Roma | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Empoli FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Cagliari Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | AC Milan | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #17 |
| 13 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 4 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 14 | Scored | 6 |
| 3 | Conceded | 12 |
| +11 | GD | -6 |
| 2.60 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 80% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 6 G | |
| Matias Soule | 2 G | 1 A |
| Manu Kone | 2 G | |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 2 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 1 G |
ACF Fiorentina
| Franco Mastantuono | 3 G |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AS Roma to score. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. AS Roma in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 3-5-2.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Eldor Shomurodov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 41 goals in his last 366 appearances.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pablo Mari suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolo Zaniolo, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' Albert Gudmundsson, a Iceland forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Robin Gosens has done his job and it is now time for Nicolo Fagioli to step up.
- 50' AS Roma is taking the lead after the goal scored by Artem Dovbyk on 45.
- 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 530 games and scored 617 goals.
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Albert Gudmundsson is hanging Nicolo Zaniolo on the field on 61 minute.
- 64' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' AS Roma ring the changes. Eldor Shomurodov has done his job and it is now time for Tommaso Baldanzi to step up.
- 70' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 71' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Amir Richardson departs to be replaced by Andrea Colpani.
- 76' Yacine Adli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 23 cards already picked up this season.
- 77' A tactical swap from AS Roma — Stephan El Shaarawy on, Artem Dovbyk off on 77 minutes.
- 82' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Moise Kean.
- 89' The referee has no hesitation. Matias Soule is booked for AS Roma — card on 89.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Niccolo Pisilli on 90.
- 90' Yacine Adli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cher Ndour on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3
-
19
Zeki Celik ↓ Devyne Rensch 77'
- 5
- 23
- 7
- 4
- 14
- 99
- 11
- 17
- 18
Bench
- 15
- 21
- 95
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 77'
- 16
- 56
- 25
- 12
-
2
Devyne Rensch ↑ 77'
-
35
Tommaso Baldanzi ↑ 65'
- 34
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 65'
-
61
Niccolo Pisilli ↑ 46'
- 70
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 43
- 18
- 20
-
21
Robin Gosens ↓ Nicolo Fagioli 46'
- 17
- 8
-
5
Marin Pongracic ↓ Lucas Beltran 71'
- 65
- 24
-
27
Cher Ndour ↓ Yacine Adli 90'
- 15
Bench
-
10
Albert Gudmundsson ↑ 61'
-
29
Yacine Adli ↑ 90'
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↑ 71'
- 1
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↑ 71'
-
44
Nicolo Fagioli ↑ 46'
- 90
- 30
- 63
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Veretout | 5 |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | 3 |
| Donyell Malen | 3 |
| Paulo Dybala | 3 |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 2 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo | 2 |
| Moise Kean | 2 |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.27
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + AS Roma to win 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
89%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
27%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
3 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
5.2%
5 – 0
4.9%
5 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -2 | 44% | 20% | 35% |
| -1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| -1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| -0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

