Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 4 May 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 63,640 HT 45' · FT 45'
Artem Dovbyk 45+5' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
27 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 1–0 W
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr SS Lazio A 1–1 D
06 Apr Juventus FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar US Lecce A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
13 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma ACF Fiorentina
#1 Position #17
13 Points 4
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
14 Scored 6
3 Conceded 12
+11 GD -6
2.60 PPG 0.80
80% Win % 20%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AS Roma to score. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. AS Roma in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 3-5-2.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Eldor Shomurodov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 41 goals in his last 366 appearances.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pablo Mari suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolo Zaniolo, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' Albert Gudmundsson, a Iceland forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Robin Gosens has done his job and it is now time for Nicolo Fagioli to step up.
  • 50' AS Roma is taking the lead after the goal scored by Artem Dovbyk on 45.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 530 games and scored 617 goals.
  • 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Albert Gudmundsson is hanging Nicolo Zaniolo on the field on 61 minute.
  • 64' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' AS Roma ring the changes. Eldor Shomurodov has done his job and it is now time for Tommaso Baldanzi to step up.
  • 70' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Amir Richardson departs to be replaced by Andrea Colpani.
  • 76' Yacine Adli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 23 cards already picked up this season.
  • 77' A tactical swap from AS Roma — Stephan El Shaarawy on, Artem Dovbyk off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Moise Kean.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Matias Soule is booked for AS Roma — card on 89.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Niccolo Pisilli on 90.
  • 90' Yacine Adli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cher Ndour on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.27 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + AS Roma to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma73% Draw15% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
89%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
27%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma63% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina8%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
3 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
5.2%
5 – 0
4.9%
5 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 44% — 56%
-2 44% 20% 35%
-1.5 65% — 35%
-1 65% 17% 18%
-0.5 82% — 18%
+0.5 94% — 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.