Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sun 4 May 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 63,640 HT 45' · FT 45'
Artem Dovbyk 45+5' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
27 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 1–0 W
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr SS Lazio A 1–1 D
06 Apr Juventus FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar US Lecce A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
13 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma ACF Fiorentina
#3 Position #15
73 Points 42
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
59 Scored 41
31 Conceded 50
+28 GD -9
1.92 PPG 1.11
61% Win % 24%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Olimpico, Rome!
  • 5' ACF Fiorentina come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' AS Roma is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' ACF Fiorentina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' AS Roma is showing some good football. However, AS Roma are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' ACF Fiorentina have won 420 goals from 456 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AS Roma and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Nicolo Fagioli. He replaces Robin Gosens on 46 minute.
  • 50' The Ukraine Artem Dovbyk breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-0!
  • 55' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' Cher Ndour has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Albert Gudmundsson comes on to replace Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • 64' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' Tommaso Baldanzi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eldor Shomurodov on 65 minute.
  • 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eldor Shomurodov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AS Roma.
  • 71' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Andrea Colpani comes on to replace Amir Richardson.
  • 76' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Artem Dovbyk is withdrawn and Stephan El Shaarawy gets his opportunity.
  • 82' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Moise Kean argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' The referee shows AS Roma player a card on 89.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Niccolo Pisilli.
  • 90' Yacine Adli is replacing Cher Ndour for the ACF Fiorentina side.
  • The points are shared — AS Roma 1-0 ACF Fiorentina. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma51% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina22%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
78%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
49%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma35% Draw48% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
39%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.