Thursday , 1 October 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 1909, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 18 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 21,280 HT 45' · FT 45'
Fabiano Parisi 13' 1–0
1–1 61' Thijs Dallinga
Amir Richardson 67' 2–1
2–2 79' Riccardo Orsolini
Moise Kean 84' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 1909 — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Giovanni Baccini
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
13 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May ACF Fiorentina A 2–3 L
09 May AC Milan A 1–3 L
04 May Juventus FC H 1–1 D
28 Apr Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
20 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
13 Apr Atalanta BC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Bologna FC 1909
#17 Position #18
4 Points 2
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 3
12 Conceded 6
-6 GD -3
0.80 PPG 0.40
20% Win % 0%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
0% Clean Sheets
Bologna FC 1909 this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). Bologna FC 1909 are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bologna FC 1909
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina46% Draw27% Bologna FC 190927%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
73%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
54%
ACF Fiorentina or Bologna FC 1909
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina31% Draw47% Bologna FC 190922%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.