Thursday , 2 July 2026

Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Mon 12 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Stadio Pierluigi Penzo 11,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Fali Cande 60' 1–0
Gaetano Oristanio 68' 2–0
2–1 77' Rolando Mandragora

Overview

Match Preview

Venezia FC vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
02 May Torino FC A 1–1 D
27 Apr AC Milan H 0–2 L
20 Apr Empoli FC A 2–2 D
12 Apr AC Monza H 1–0 W
06 Apr US Lecce A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
13 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Venezia FC is hosting ACF Fiorentina for another epic battle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andrea Colpani, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Venezia FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Venezia FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for John Yeboah suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' Hans Nicolussi Caviglia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David De Gea made 409 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 60' What a strike from Fali Cande! The score is 1-0.
  • 63' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Cher Ndour by Michael Folorunsho on 63 minute.
  • 68' GOAL! Gaetano Oristanio scores on 68. Assisted by Alessio Zerbin
  • 73' It looks like no one’s ball. Venezia FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' Goal! Rolando Mandragora scores his 17 goal in 456 matches.
  • 78' The Venezia FC manager makes a substitution. Kike Perez departs to be replaced by Mirko Maric.
  • 79' The whistle greets Marin Pongracic as he departs to be replaced by Andrea Colpani.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Gianluca Busio. He receives a card.
  • 83' Cheick Conde has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alessio Zerbin on 83 minute.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Michael Folorunsho.
  • 85' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 85 minute. Robin Gosens leaves to be changed by Fabiano Parisi.
  • 88' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Dodo gets a card.
  • 90' ACF Fiorentina receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Venezia FC to replace Cheick Conde by Ridgeciano Haps on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Venezia FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Venezia FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Venezia FC44% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina27%
Actual: Venezia FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Venezia FC or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
56%
Venezia FC or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Venezia FC28% Draw52% ACF Fiorentina20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Venezia FC

Handicap Venezia FC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Venezia FC keeps clean sheet
38%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.