Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Unipol Domus.
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Lo Cicero
10 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | Empoli FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | AC Monza | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | AS Roma | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Genoa CFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | Cagliari Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | AC Milan | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Juventus FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSC Napoli | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #15 |
| 43 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 11 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 40 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 50 |
| -13 | GD | -9 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 29% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Cagliari Calcio welcome ACF Fiorentina for this crunch clash at Unipol Domus.
- 5' Cagliari Calcio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
- 7' Roberto Piccoli does the damage! The net is bulging and Cagliari Calcio surge ahead!
- 12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 17' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 22' Fabiano Parisi, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 27' Italy international Matteo Prati has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cagliari Calcio and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' Brilliant from the ! Robin Gosens makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 36.
- 41' Jose Palomino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yerry Mina at the 41 minute mark.
- 46' Cagliari Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 48' Lucas Beltran adds to his 0 season tally! ACF Fiorentina lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 53' A quiet spell here at Unipol Domus. Cagliari Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 58' Gabriele Zappa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 485 appearances.
- 59' Another substitution for Cagliari Calcio to replace Nicolas Viola by Gianluca Gaetano on 59 minute.
- 62' A change in the ACF Fiorentina ranks — Robin Gosens exits the field as Fabiano Parisi enters on 62.
- 63' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Amir Richardson on, Nicolo Fagioli off on 63 minutes.
- 65' A moment of madness from Jose Palomino on 65 minutes earns him a card. Cagliari Calcio will be frustrated.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Antoine Makoumbou. He replaces Matteo Prati on 67 minute.
- 72' It is a cagey affair so far. Cagliari Calcio in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 3-5-1-1.
- 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 79' A moment of madness from Roberto Piccoli on 79 minutes earns him a card. Cagliari Calcio will be frustrated.
- 81' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Rolando Mandragora departs to be replaced by Michael Folorunsho.
- 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Fabiano Parisi.
- 86' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Nicolo Zaniolo on, Lucas Beltran off on 86 minutes.
- 90' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from ACF Fiorentina to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
26
Yerry Mina ↓ Jose Palomino 41'
- 6
- 10
- 25
- 3
- 91
- 28
-
19
Nadir Zortea ↓ Florinel Coman 67'
- 77
-
8
Michel Adopo ↓ Razvan Marin 67'
- 16
Bench
- 30
-
29
Antoine Makoumbou ↑ 67'
-
18
Razvan Marin ↑ 67'
-
9
Florinel Coman ↑ 67'
-
70
Gianluca Gaetano ↑ 59'
- 97
- 1
- 71
- 33
-
24
Jose Palomino ↑ 41'
- 80
Coach
Davide Nicola
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
6
Luca Ranieri ↓ Pietro Comuzzo 81'
- 10
- 43
- 18
-
21
Robin Gosens ↓ Fabiano Parisi 62'
- 32
- 8
- 2
- 5
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↓ Nicolo Zaniolo 86'
- 44
Bench
- 29
-
17
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 86'
- 1
-
65
Fabiano Parisi ↑ 62'
-
24
Amir Richardson ↑ 63'
-
90
Michael Folorunsho ↑ 81'
- 30
- 27
-
15
Pietro Comuzzo ↑ 81'
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Vlahovic | 4 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 4 |
| Joao Pedro Galvao | 3 |
| Lucas Beltran | 1 |
| Leonardo Pavoletti | 1 |
| Cristiano Biraghi | 1 |
| Jordan Veretout | 1 |
| Riccardo Sottil | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Cagliari Calcio or ACF Fiorentina 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
59%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
69%
Cagliari Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

