Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Wed 23 Apr 2025 · 16:30 UTC Unipol Domus 15,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
Roberto Piccoli 7' 1–0
1–1 36' Robin Gosens
1–2 48' Lucas Beltran

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Lo Cicero
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 1–2 L
12 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 1–3 L
06 Apr Empoli FC A 0–0 D
30 Mar AC Monza H 3–0 W
16 Mar AS Roma A 0–1 L
07 Mar Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
13 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio ACF Fiorentina
#14 Position #15
43 Points 42
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
40 Scored 41
53 Conceded 50
-13 GD -9
1.13 PPG 1.11
29% Win % 24%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or ACF Fiorentina 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio31% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina42%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
59%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
69%
Cagliari Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio25% Draw46% ACF Fiorentina29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
24%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.