Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Fri 9 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 71,076 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Riccardo Orsolini
Santiago Gimenez 73' 1–1
Christian Pulisic 79' 2–1
Santiago Gimenez 90+2' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Damiano Di Iorio
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May AC Milan A 1–3 L
04 May Juventus FC H 1–1 D
28 Apr Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
20 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
13 Apr Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
07 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Bologna FC 1909
#5 Position #8
70 Points 56
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 16 / 8 / 14
53 Scored 49
35 Conceded 46
+18 GD +3
1.84 PPG 1.47
53% Win % 42%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (56 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.75 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan56% Draw25% Bologna FC 190919%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
44%
AC Milan or Bologna FC 1909
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan38% Draw45% Bologna FC 190917%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.