Genoa CFC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
5 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 11.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | AC Milan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Como 1907 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Juventus FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | Genoa CFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Venezia FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Atalanta BC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Udinese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SSC Napoli | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Genoa CFC | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 13 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 4 / 1 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 11 | Scored | 23 |
| 16 | Conceded | 13 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 36% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Genoa CFC this season
Genoa CFC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Genoa CFC are 13th (13 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Genoa CFC
0-15
4/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Genoa CFC
| Milutin Osmajic | 4 G | 1 A |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Genoa CFC and AC Milan.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Genoa CFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
- 15' Mike Maignan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' Serbia international Luka Jovic has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Strahinja Pavlovic.
- 26' Alex Jimenez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Morten Thorsby on 27.
- 28' The crowd applauds Youssouf Fofana as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Leao steps in for AC Milan.
- 33' Santiago Gimenez is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Genoa CFC tonight.
- 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 529 games and scored 625 goals.
- 46' Stefano Sabelli makes way for Alessandro Zanoli at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Genoa CFC.
- 51' Genoa CFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergio Conceicao might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 59' Vitinha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Junior Messias at the 59 minute mark.
- 61' Brilliant from the forward! Vitinha makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 61.
- 66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Genoa CFC and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 69' The referee calls foul for Ruben Loftus-Cheek. He receives a card.
- 70' AC Milan ring the changes. Luka Jovic has done his job and it is now time for Santiago Gimenez to step up.
- 72' The whistle greets Morten Thorsby as he departs to be replaced by Honest Ahanor.
- 76' The deadlock is broken! Rafael Leao gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
- 77' Against the run of play, Morten Frendrup has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Kyle Walker comes on to replace Fikayo Tomori.
- 82' Rafael Leao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' Poor challenge from Matteo Gabbia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' Another change for Genoa CFC made on 86 minute. Brooke Norton-Cuffy leaves to be changed by Jeff Ekhator.
- 90' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Genoa CFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
2
Morten Thorsby ↓ Honest Ahanor 72'
- 3
- 20
- 19
- 32
- 22
-
10
Junior Messias ↓ Vitinha 59'
- 4
- 15
- 73
Bench
- 47
- 13
- 31
-
59
Alessandro Zanoli ↑ 46'
-
9
Vitinha ↑ 59'
- 39
- 53
-
21
Jeff Ekhator ↑ 86'
-
69
Honest Ahanor ↑ 72'
- 76
- 34
Coach
Patrick Vieira
AC Milan Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 14
- 8
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Kyle Walker 79'
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Rafael Leao 28'
- 16
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 79'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↓ Santiago Gimenez 70'
- 19
- 31
- 46
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Joao Felix 70'
Bench
-
32
Kyle Walker ↑ 79'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 28'
- 21
- 24
- 57
-
79
Joao Felix ↑ 70'
- 28
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 79'
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 70'
- 33
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Junior Messias | 3 |
| Mattia Destro | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | 2 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 1 |
Head to Head
Genoa CFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81
Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Genoa CFC or Draw
45%
Draw or AC Milan
81%
Genoa CFC or AC Milan
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.1%
0 – 2
11.7%
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC
| Handicap | Genoa CFC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 19% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.