Thursday , 2 July 2026

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Genoa CFC
1 – 2
Full Time
AC Milan
Mon 5 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Luigi Ferraris 32,081 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vitinha 61' 1–0
1–1 76' Rafael Leao
1–2 77' Morten Frendrup og
Y 21' Strahinja Pavlovic
Morten Thorsby 27' Y
Y 69' Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Y 82' Rafael Leao
Y 84' Matteo Gabbia
Y 90' Joao Felix

Overview

Match Preview

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 2.4 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

2
7
13
Genoa CFC 22 games · Avg 2.3 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan 2024-12-15 AC Milan 0–0 Genoa CFC 2024-05-05 AC Milan 3–3 Genoa CFC 2023-10-07 Genoa CFC 0–1 AC Milan 2022-04-15 AC Milan 2–0 Genoa CFC

Recent Form

Genoa CFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May AC Milan H 1–2 L
27 Apr Como 1907 A 0–1 L
23 Apr SS Lazio H 0–2 L
13 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 0–0 D
04 Apr Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
29 Mar Juventus FC A 0–1 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Genoa CFC AC Milan
#16 Position #5
41 Points 70
38 Played 38
10 / 11 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
51 Conceded 35
-10 GD +18
1.08 PPG 1.84
26% Win % 53%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' It looks surprising Genoa CFC does not make any changes. Rafael Leao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yunus Musah made 422 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Poor challenge from Morten Thorsby. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 28' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Rafael Leao on, Youssouf Fofana off on 28 minutes.
  • 33' Genoa CFC is showing some good football. However, Genoa CFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' A change in the Genoa CFC ranks — Stefano Sabelli exits the field as Alessandro Zanoli enters on 46.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Patrick Vieira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Genoa CFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' Junior Messias makes way for Vitinha at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Genoa CFC.
  • 61' The deadlock is broken! Vitinha gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Genoa CFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Ruben Loftus-Cheek. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Luka Jovic exits the field as Santiago Gimenez enters on 70.
  • 72' The Genoa CFC manager makes a substitution. Morten Thorsby departs to be replaced by Honest Ahanor.
  • 76' Rafael Leao doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 77' Morten Frendrup puts Genoa CFC on the lead.
  • 79' Fikayo Tomori makes way for Kyle Walker at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Leao on 82 minutes.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Matteo Gabbia.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Jeff Ekhator. He replaces Brooke Norton-Cuffy on 86 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Joao Felix. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. AC Milan take all three points.

Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Patrick Vieira

AC Milan Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Junior Messias 3
Mattia Destro 3
Rafael Leao 2
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 2
Alessio Romagnoli 2
Suso 2
Zachary Athekame 1
Fabio Borini 1

Head to Head

2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan 2024-12-15 AC Milan 0–0 Genoa CFC 2024-05-05 AC Milan 3–3 Genoa CFC 2023-10-07 Genoa CFC 0–1 AC Milan 2022-04-15 AC Milan 2–0 Genoa CFC

Genoa CFC Form

2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan L 2025-04-27 Como 1907 1–0 Genoa CFC L 2025-04-23 Genoa CFC 0–2 SS Lazio L 2025-04-13 Hellas Verona FC 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2025-04-04 Genoa CFC 1–0 Udinese Calcio W 2025-03-29 Juventus FC 1–0 Genoa CFC L

AC Milan Form

2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan W 2025-04-27 Venezia FC 0–2 AC Milan W 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-04-11 Udinese Calcio 0–4 AC Milan W 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84 Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC21% Draw27% AC Milan52%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Genoa CFC or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
79%
Genoa CFC or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC14% Draw47% AC Milan39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
11%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC

Handicap Genoa CFC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 24% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.