Sunday , 16 August 2026

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Mon 5 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Luigi Ferraris 32,081 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vitinha 61' 1–0
1–1 76' Rafael Leao
1–2 77' Morten Frendrup og

Overview

Match Preview

Genoa CFC vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May AC Milan H 1–2 L
27 Apr Como 1907 A 0–1 L
23 Apr SS Lazio H 0–2 L
13 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 0–0 D
04 Apr Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
29 Mar Juventus FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Genoa CFC AC Milan
#19 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Genoa CFC are 19th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Genoa CFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Strahinja Pavlovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Alex Jimenez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 21' The referee calls foul for Strahinja Pavlovic. He receives a card.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Patrick Vieira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' Controversy at the stadium! Morten Thorsby argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 28' A tactical swap from AC MilanRafael Leao on, Youssouf Fofana off on 28 minutes.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Genoa CFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Genoa CFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alessandro Zanoli is hanging Stefano Sabelli on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Genoa CFC and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 59' Another change for Genoa CFC made on 59 minute. Junior Messias leaves to be changed by Vitinha.
  • 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vitinha makes it 1-0.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Santiago Gimenez is replacing Luka Jovic for the AC Milan side.
  • 72' Another change for Genoa CFC made on 72 minute. Morten Thorsby leaves to be changed by Honest Ahanor.
  • 76' The Portugal Rafael Leao breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-1!
  • 77' What a moment for Morten Frendrup! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 79' AC Milan make a change. Fikayo Tomori trudges off to be replaced by Kyle Walker on 79 minutes.
  • 82' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Rafael Leao gets a card.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matteo Gabbia.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Jeff Ekhator. He replaces Brooke Norton-Cuffy on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Joao Felix. He receives a card.
  • The points are shared — Genoa CFC 1-2 AC Milan. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.37 Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC18% Draw37% AC Milan45%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Genoa CFC or Draw
55%
Draw or AC Milan
82%
Genoa CFC or AC Milan
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC8% Draw65% AC Milan27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.9%
0 – 1
23.8%
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
3.3%
2 – 1
1.7%
2 – 0
1.6%
1 – 3
1.6%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 4
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC

Handicap Genoa CFC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 10% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 29% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 13% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
40%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
69%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.