Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 – 2
Full Time
Mon 5 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Luigi Ferraris 32,081 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vitinha 61' 1–0
1–1 76' Rafael Leao
1–2 77' Morten Frendrup og

Overview

Match Preview

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Match Details

  • Referee Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May AC Milan H 1–2 L
27 Apr Como 1907 A 0–1 L
23 Apr SS Lazio H 0–2 L
13 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 0–0 D
04 Apr Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
29 Mar Juventus FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Genoa CFC AC Milan
#19 Position #5
1 Points 11
5 Played 5
0 / 1 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
3 Scored 10
10 Conceded 4
-7 GD +6
0.20 PPG 2.20
0% Win % 60%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Genoa CFC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Genoa CFC are 19th (1 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Genoa CFC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Genoa CFC
Milutin Osmajic 2 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Genoa CFC welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' AC Milan come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' Poor challenge from Strahinja Pavlovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' Genoa CFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
  • 28' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Youssouf Fofana is replaced by Rafael Leao.
  • 33' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' It’s high time Sergio Conceicao made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Another substitution for Genoa CFC to replace Stefano Sabelli by Alessandro Zanoli on 46 minute.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Genoa CFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Koni De Winter is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Genoa CFC tonight.
  • 59' Genoa CFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vitinha is hanging Junior Messias on the field on 59 minute.
  • 61' What a strike from Vitinha! The score is 1-0.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' Ruben Loftus-Cheek is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 70' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Luka Jovic is replaced by Santiago Gimenez on 70 minute.
  • 72' A change in the Genoa CFC ranks — Morten Thorsby exits the field as Honest Ahanor enters on 72.
  • 76' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' Morten Frendrup doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 79' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Fikayo Tomori is replaced by Kyle Walker.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Rafael Leao on 82 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 84' Matteo Gabbia catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
  • 86' Jeff Ekhator gets the nod from Genoa CFC. He replaces Brooke Norton-Cuffy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Felix.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats Genoa CFC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.56 Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.25 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC14% Draw21% AC Milan65%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Genoa CFC or Draw
35%
Draw or AC Milan
86%
Genoa CFC or AC Milan
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Genoa CFC7% Draw40% AC Milan53%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
15%
0 – 1
13.2%
0 – 3
10.9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 3
6.3%
0 – 4
6.1%
1 – 4
3.6%
0 – 5
2.8%
1 – 0
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC

Handicap Genoa CFC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 93%
-0.5 7% — 93%
+0.5 25% — 75%
+1 25% 24% 51%
+1.5 49% — 51%
+2 49% 22% 29%
+2.5 71% — 29%

Clean Sheet

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
57% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.