Genoa CFC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
3 games this season
🟨 5.7/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | AC Milan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Como 1907 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Juventus FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | Genoa CFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Venezia FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Atalanta BC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Udinese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SSC Napoli | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Genoa CFC | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #5 |
| 1 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 0 / 1 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 3 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 4 |
| -7 | GD | +6 |
| 0.20 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 0% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Genoa CFC this season
Genoa CFC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Genoa CFC are 19th (1 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Genoa CFC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Genoa CFC
| Milutin Osmajic | 2 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Genoa CFC welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' AC Milan come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Poor challenge from Strahinja Pavlovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' Genoa CFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 28' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Youssouf Fofana is replaced by Rafael Leao.
- 33' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' It’s high time Sergio Conceicao made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Another substitution for Genoa CFC to replace Stefano Sabelli by Alessandro Zanoli on 46 minute.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Genoa CFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' Koni De Winter is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Genoa CFC tonight.
- 59' Genoa CFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vitinha is hanging Junior Messias on the field on 59 minute.
- 61' What a strike from Vitinha! The score is 1-0.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' Ruben Loftus-Cheek is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
- 70' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Luka Jovic is replaced by Santiago Gimenez on 70 minute.
- 72' A change in the Genoa CFC ranks — Morten Thorsby exits the field as Honest Ahanor enters on 72.
- 76' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
- 77' Morten Frendrup doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 79' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Fikayo Tomori is replaced by Kyle Walker.
- 82' A moment of madness from Rafael Leao on 82 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 84' Matteo Gabbia catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 86' Jeff Ekhator gets the nod from Genoa CFC. He replaces Brooke Norton-Cuffy and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Felix.
- Full Time. AC Milan beats Genoa CFC
Lineups
Genoa CFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
2
Morten Thorsby ↓ Honest Ahanor 72'
- 3
- 20
- 19
- 32
- 22
-
10
Junior Messias ↓ Vitinha 59'
- 4
- 15
- 73
Bench
- 47
- 13
- 31
-
59
Alessandro Zanoli ↑ 46'
-
9
Vitinha ↑ 59'
- 39
- 53
-
21
Jeff Ekhator ↑ 86'
-
69
Honest Ahanor ↑ 72'
- 76
- 34
Coach
Patrick Vieira
AC Milan Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 14
- 8
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Kyle Walker 79'
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Rafael Leao 28'
- 16
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 79'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↓ Santiago Gimenez 70'
- 19
- 31
- 46
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Joao Felix 70'
Bench
-
32
Kyle Walker ↑ 79'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 28'
- 21
- 24
- 57
-
79
Joao Felix ↑ 70'
- 28
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 79'
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 70'
- 33
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mattia Destro | 3 |
| Junior Messias | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | 2 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Lasse Schone | 1 |
| Christian Pulisic | 1 |
Head to Head
Genoa CFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.56
Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.25
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Genoa CFC or Draw
35%
Draw or AC Milan
86%
Genoa CFC or AC Milan
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
15%
0 – 1
13.2%
0 – 3
10.9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 3
6.3%
0 – 4
6.1%
1 – 4
3.6%
0 – 5
2.8%
1 – 0
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC
| Handicap | Genoa CFC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -0.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| +0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| +1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +2 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| +2.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
Clean Sheet
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
57%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

