US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87 2 SSC Napoli 38 76 3 AS Roma 38 73 4 Como 1907 38 71 5 AC Milan 38 70 6 Juventus FC 38 69 7 Atalanta BC 38 59 8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56 9 SS Lazio 38 54 10 Udinese Calcio 38 50 11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49 12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45 13 Torino FC 38 45 14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43 15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42 16 Genoa CFC 38 41 17 US Lecce 38 38 18 US Cremonese 38 34 19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21 20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Season Stats
US Lecce AC Milan #17 Position #5 38 Points 70 38 Played 38 10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8 28 Scored 53 50 Conceded 35 -22 GD +18 1.00 PPG 1.84 26% Win % 53% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H historyUS Lecce are 17th (38 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
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Events
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Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Rafael Leao 5 Christian Pulisic 4 Davide Calabria 2 Nikola Krstovic 2 Theo Hernandez 2 Olivier Giroud 2 Alexis Blin 1 Hakan Calhanoglu 1 Head to Head
US Lecce Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 40.71 US Lecce xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.71 AC Milan xGI would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.42Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 89% 11% ± 1.5 69% 31% ± 2.5 43% 57% ± 3.5 23% 77% ± 4.5 10% 90% Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw 45%Draw or AC Milan 81%US Lecce or AC Milan 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 120 – 1 14.4%0 – 2 Actual1 – 1 11.6%0 – 0 10.9%1 – 2 8.9%0 – 3 7%1 – 0 5.4%1 – 3 5.2%2 – 1 3.7%2 – 2 3.2%0 – 4 3%1 – 4 2.3%Asian Handicap — US Lecce
Handicap US Lecce covers Push AC Milan covers -2.5 1% — 99% -2 1% 3% 96% -1.5 4% — 96% -1 4% 10% 86% -0.5 14% — 86% +0.5 40% — 60% +1 40% 26% 34% +1.5 66% — 34% +2 66% 19% 15% +2.5 85% — 15% Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet 19% ✓AC Milan keeps clean sheet 49% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.