Sunday , 16 August 2026

US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
US Lecce
0 – 2
Full Time
AC Milan
Fri 29 Aug 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 US Cremonese 38 34
2 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
3 AC Pisa 1909 38 18
4 FC Internazionale Milano 0 0
5 SSC Napoli 0 0
6 AS Roma 0 0
7 Como 1907 0 0
8 AC Milan 0 0
9 Juventus FC 0 0
10 Atalanta BC 0 0
11 Bologna FC 1909 0 0
12 SS Lazio 0 0
13 Udinese Calcio 0 0
14 US Sassuolo Calcio 0 0
15 Torino FC 0 0
16 Parma Calcio 1913 0 0
17 Cagliari Calcio 0 0
18 ACF Fiorentina 0 0
19 Genoa CFC 0 0
20 US Lecce 0 0
21 AC Monza 0 0
22 Venezia FC 0 0
23 Frosinone Calcio 0 0

Head-to-Head

3
7
US Lecce 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

US Lecce
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug AC Milan H 0–2 L
23 Aug Genoa CFC A 0–0 D
25 May SS Lazio A 1–0 W
18 May Torino FC H 1–0 W
11 May Hellas Verona FC A 1–1 D
03 May SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

US Lecce AC Milan
#20 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 20th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . US Lecce are looking to make home advantage count against AC Milan.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 5
Christian Pulisic 4
Davide Calabria 2
Nikola Krstovic 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Olivier Giroud 2
Alexis Blin 1
Hakan Calhanoglu 1

Head to Head

2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan

US Lecce Form

2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan L 2025-08-23 Genoa CFC 0–0 US Lecce D 2025-05-25 SS Lazio 0–1 US Lecce W 2025-05-18 US Lecce 1–0 Torino FC W 2025-05-11 Hellas Verona FC 1–1 US Lecce D 2025-05-03 US Lecce 0–1 SSC Napoli L

AC Milan Form

2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan W 2025-08-23 AC Milan 1–2 US Cremonese L 2025-05-24 AC Milan 2–0 AC Monza W 2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan L 2025-05-09 AC Milan 3–1 Bologna FC 1909 W 2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.39 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce18% Draw36% AC Milan46%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
82%
US Lecce or AC Milan
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce8% Draw64% AC Milan28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28%
0 – 1
23.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
1.8%
2 – 0
1.6%
2 – 2
1.1%
0 – 4
0.9%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 10% 88%
-0.5 12% — 88%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 29% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 13% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
68% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.