Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | New York City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Charlotte FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 77 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 23 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 71 | Scored | 52 |
| 25 | Conceded | 67 |
| +46 | GD | -15 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 68% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Nashville SC host Toronto FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Zambia international Aime Mabika has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kobe Franklin, as he is very good at scoring at Fairgrounds Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' A moment of madness from Dru Yearwood on 36 minutes earns him a card. Nashville SC will be frustrated.
- 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Nashville SC make a change. Sean Davis trudges off to be replaced by Shaq Moore on 46 minutes.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 299 games and scored 396 goals.
- 56' Nashville SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 60' Taylor Washington is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jacob Shaffelburg at the 60 minute mark.
- 62' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Alonso Coello Camarero is replaced by Deybi Flores on 62 minute.
- 66' Brian Anunga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Muyl on 66 minute.
- 71' Deybi Flores has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 76' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Kobe Franklin on, Tyrese Spicer off on 76 minutes.
- 81' Shaq Moore has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
- 86' A moment of madness from Tyler Boyd on 86 minutes earns him a card. Nashville SC will be frustrated.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Tyler Boyd 46'
- 9
- 20
-
54
Sean Davis ↓ Shaq Moore 46'
-
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Brian Anunga 66'
- 1
- 25
- 10
- 14
- 5
- 22
Bench
-
18
Shaq Moore ↑ 46'
- 12
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 46'
- 2
- 44
- 6
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 60'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 66'
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 28
- 17
- 8
- 6
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 62'
- 90
- 47
- 14
- 15
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Kobe Franklin 76'
Bench
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 62'
- 18
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 76'
- 12
-
20
Deybi Flores ↑ 62'
- 73
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Daniel Rios | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.39
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Nashville SC to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
38%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 20% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

