Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.
- Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | New York City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Charlotte FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #13 |
| 60 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 18 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 21 | Conceded | 51 |
| +34 | GD | -12 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 67% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 16 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 13 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Fairgrounds Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Nashville SC and Toronto FC.
- 5' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Nashville SC have won 320 goals from 219 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' It’s high time John Herdman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Tyrese Spicer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Jack Maher is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 36' A moment of madness from Dru Yearwood on 36 minutes earns him a card. Nashville SC will be frustrated.
- 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josh Bauer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 46' The whistle greets Sean Davis as he departs to be replaced by Shaq Moore.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nashville SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 60' Kosi Thompson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
- 60' Taylor Washington has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Shaffelburg on 60 minute.
- 62' Deybi Flores gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Alonso Coello Camarero and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' The Nashville SC manager makes a substitution. Alex Muyl departs to be replaced by Brian Anunga.
- 71' Deybi Flores, a Honduras , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 76' Kobe Franklin gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Tyrese Spicer and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Nashville SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shaq Moore on 81.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tyler Boyd on 86 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Nashville SC take all three points.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Tyler Boyd 46'
- 9
- 20
-
54
Sean Davis ↓ Shaq Moore 46'
-
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Brian Anunga 66'
- 1
- 25
- 10
- 14
- 5
- 22
Bench
-
18
Shaq Moore ↑ 46'
- 12
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 46'
- 2
- 44
- 6
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 60'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 66'
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 28
- 17
- 8
- 6
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 62'
- 90
- 47
- 14
- 15
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Kobe Franklin 76'
Bench
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 62'
- 18
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 76'
- 12
-
20
Deybi Flores ↑ 62'
- 73
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 4 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.3
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
39%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

