Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Toronto FC
1 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field 15,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gilberto Flores og 83' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Kenji Mboma
Benjamin Kuscevic 38' Y
Jonathan Osorio 45' Y
Y 58' Bryan Ramirez
Y 69' Kevin Denkey
Robin Fraser 70' Y
YR 71' Kevin Denkey

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo Fierro (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Eric Weisbrod
  • Assistant 2 Jeffrey Greeson

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 40
2 Internacional CF Miami 18 38
3 New England Revolution 18 30
4 Chicago Fire FC 17 29
5 New York City FC 18 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 25
9 D.C. United SC 18 23
10 Columbus Crew SC 18 20
11 Orlando City SC 18 20
12 Toronto FC 18 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 16
14 Montreal Impact FC 18 16
15 Atlanta United FC 18 12
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 17 34
17 Los Angeles FC 19 34
18 San Jose Earthquakes 18 33
19 Houston Dynamo 18 32
20 FC Dallas 18 27
21 Real Salt Lake 17 27
22 St. Louis City 18 26
23 Portland Timbers 18 24
24 Seattle Sounders FC 17 24
25 Minnesota United FC 18 24
26 Colorado Rapids SC 18 22
27 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 22
28 San Diego FC 18 21
29 Austin FC 18 17
30 Sporting Kansas City 18 14

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Minnesota United FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #6
17 Points 26
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
24 Scored 45
32 Conceded 44
-8 GD +1
0.94 PPG 1.44
17% Win % 39%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Matheus Pereira has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Evander made 288 appearances and scored 55 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 38' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jonathan Osorio.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' Bryan Ramirez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 62' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Matt Miazga has done his job and it is now time for Kyle Smith to step up.
  • 67' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Tom Barlow has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' Kevin Denkey picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Robin Fraser.
  • 71' Kevin Denkey was booked on 71.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Osorio, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 17 goals in the last 14 games.
  • 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Jose Cifuentes is replaced by Emilio Aristizabal on 82 minute.
  • 83' What a moment for Gilberto Flores! That strike on 83 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Bryan Ramirez is withdrawn and Kenji Mboma gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Obinna Nwobodo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ender Echenique on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Emmanuel Ledesma 2
Kevin Denkey 2
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2
Patrick Mullins 2
Allan Cruz 2

Head to Head

2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati

Toronto FC Form

2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-04-04 Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids SC W 2026-03-21 Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew SC W 2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Montreal Impact FC W 2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.12 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 78% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC44% Draw22% FC Cincinnati34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
66%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
56%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC33% Draw37% FC Cincinnati30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 17% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.