Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew SCMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre-Luc Lauziere (Canada)
6 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
22 Feb FC Dallas A 2–3 L
18 Oct Orlando City SC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Toronto FC A 1–2 L
14 Mar Nashville SC H 0–1 L
08 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 0–0 D
01 Mar Sporting Kansas City A 2–2 D
22 Feb Portland Timbers A 2–3 L
18 Oct New York Red Bulls H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Columbus Crew SC
#11 Position #10
14 Points 16
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 7
22 Scored 21
29 Conceded 23
-7 GD -2
1.00 PPG 1.07
21% Win % 27%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Columbus Crew SC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Columbus Crew SC are 10th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Columbus Crew SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Columbus Crew SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Columbus Crew SC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Columbus Crew SC 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC43% Draw24% Columbus Crew SC33%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Columbus Crew SC
57%
Toronto FC or Columbus Crew SC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC30% Draw42% Columbus Crew SC28%
Actual: Columbus Crew SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
5.1%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Columbus Crew SC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Columbus Crew SC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.