TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 3 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Energie Cottbus | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfL Osnabrück | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Hertha BSC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preußen Münster | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 2 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 7' Holstein Kiel make a change. John Tolkin trudges off to be replaced by Marko Ivezic on 7 minutes.
- 10' It’s gonna be a card for Jonas Meffert.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 16' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Christian Rasmussen has done his job and it is now time for Marin Ljubicic to step up.
- 21' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-5-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Umut Tohumcu on 24.
- 26' That is a card for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Florent Muslija will be fuming at that decision.
- 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Markus Anfang might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 41' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' Steven Skrzybski catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
- 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luca Raimund is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
- 50' GOAL! Phil Harres scores on 50. Assisted by Adrian Kapralik
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' Jonas Therkelsen gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Steven Skrzybski and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Luca Raimund departs to be replaced by Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
- 65' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Florent Muslija is replaced by Jordi Paulina on 65 minute.
- 70' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
- 71' What a moment for Cedric Itten! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
- 76' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 79' Ivan Nekic adds to his 0 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Niklas Niehoff made 280 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 89' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adrian Kapralik on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Ikem Ugoh by Frederik Roslyng on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 24
- 33
- 13
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 15
- 10
- 44
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 12
- 6
- 11
- 1
- 14
- 20
- 27
- 29
Coach
Markus Anfang
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 7
- 1
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 7'
- 20
-
8
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Niklas Niehoff 90'
- 19
- 23
- 26
- 13
-
49
Ikem Ugoh ↓ Frederik Roslyng 90'
Bench
- 22
- 21
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 7'
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 90'
- 25
-
10
Jonas Therkelsen ↑ 60'
- 43
-
2
Frederik Roslyng ↑ 90'
- 40
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Ivan Nekic | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form
2026-04-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
Holstein Kiel
L
2026-04-04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2026-03-22
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
2–5
Hertha BSC
L
2026-03-14
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2026-03-07
1. FC Nurnberg
0–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2026-02-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
2–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Holstein Kiel 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
58%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
69%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Holstein Kiel
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

