Saturday , 5 September 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 49,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Phil Harres
Cedric Itten 71' 1–1
1–2 79' Ivan Nekic

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–2 L
04 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
22 Mar Hertha BSC H 2–5 L
14 Mar Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L
07 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–0 W
27 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–1 W
05 Apr SC Preußen Münster H 0–0 D
22 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
14 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–3 L
07 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–2 L
28 Feb SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 2 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
  • 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 7' Holstein Kiel make a change. John Tolkin trudges off to be replaced by Marko Ivezic on 7 minutes.
  • 10' It’s gonna be a card for Jonas Meffert.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 16' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Christian Rasmussen has done his job and it is now time for Marin Ljubicic to step up.
  • 21' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-5-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Umut Tohumcu on 24.
  • 26' That is a card for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Florent Muslija will be fuming at that decision.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Markus Anfang might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 41' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' Steven Skrzybski catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
  • 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luca Raimund is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 50' GOAL! Phil Harres scores on 50. Assisted by Adrian Kapralik
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' Jonas Therkelsen gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Steven Skrzybski and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Luca Raimund departs to be replaced by Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
  • 65' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Florent Muslija is replaced by Jordi Paulina on 65 minute.
  • 70' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
  • 71' What a moment for Cedric Itten! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 79' Ivan Nekic adds to his 0 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Niklas Niehoff made 280 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 89' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adrian Kapralik on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Ikem Ugoh by Frederik Roslyng on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Holstein Kiel 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf31% Draw28% Holstein Kiel41%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
58%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
69%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf23% Draw46% Holstein Kiel31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.