Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 53,200 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Grischa Promel
0–2 21' Wout Weghorst pen
Chris Fuhrich 61' 1–2
1–3 66' Robert Skov
Deniz Undav 73' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
21 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
30 Sep 1. FC Koln A 2–0 W
22 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–1 W
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
21 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
07 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 3–2 W
29 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
23 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–0 W
16 Sep 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#4 Position #5
62 Points 61
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
71 Scored 65
49 Conceded 52
+22 GD +13
1.82 PPG 1.79
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart are looking to make home advantage count against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Grischa Promel makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 9' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 14' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 17' Kevin Akpoguma is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
  • 21' Wout Weghorst is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anthony Rouault on 21.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Florian Grillitsch has done his job and it is now time for Anton Stach to step up.
  • 37' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 42' Anton Stach has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 313 appearances.
  • 47' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 52' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Ihlas Bebou comes on to replace Pavel Kaderabek.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maximilian Beier suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chris Fuhrich makes it 1-2.
  • 64' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Anthony Rouault is replaced by Dan-Axel Zagadou.
  • 66' Robert Skov doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Pascal Stenzel is replaced by Jamie Leweling.
  • 72' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 73' A stunning finish from Deniz Undav — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 78' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Tom Bischof is replaced by Umut Tohumcu.
  • 80' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Chris Fuhrich on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Jovan Milosevic comes on to replace Chris Fuhrich.
  • 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.14 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart42% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
66%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
58%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart34% Draw38% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim28%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
1 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 18% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 16% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
15%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.