Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 53,200 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Grischa Promel
0–2 21' Wout Weghorst pen
Chris Fuhrich 61' 1–2
1–3 66' Robert Skov
Deniz Undav 73' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
21 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
30 Sep 1. FC Köln A 2–0 W
22 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–1 W
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
21 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
07 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 3–2 W
29 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
23 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–0 W
16 Sep 1. FC Köln A 3–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Grischa Promel makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 9' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact 3-1-4-2.
  • 14' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 17' A moment of madness from Kevin Akpoguma on 17 minutes earns him a Yellow card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
  • 21' What a moment for Wout Weghorst! That strike on 21 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' Controversy at the stadium! Anthony Rouault argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 31' Robert Skov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 105 appearances.
  • 32' Anton Stach has so much to prove this time. He replaces Florian Grillitsch on 32 minute.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sebastian Hoeneß will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 52' Pavel Kaderabek makes way for Ihlas Bebou at the 52 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 57' The 27-year-old Anton Stach has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' Chris Fuhrich doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 64' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Anthony Rouault is withdrawn and Dan-Axel Zagadou gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Robert Skov does the damage! The net is bulging and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim surge ahead!
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Jamie Leweling. He replaces Pascal Stenzel on 67 minute.
  • 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pellegrino Matarazzo might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 73' A goal from the Germany international Deniz Undav! He fires home on 73 to make it 2-3!
  • 78' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Tom Bischof is replaced by Umut Tohumcu on 78 minute.
  • 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Chris Fuhrich.
  • 83' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Chris Fuhrich is replaced by Jovan Milosevic.
  • 88' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • Another three points for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw32% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim35%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
65%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
67%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart22% Draw53% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
34%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.