VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern Munchen | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Koln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | 1. FC Koln | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 17 |
| +0 | GD | -1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
73%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
11%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tim Lemperle | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' VfB Stuttgart have kicked off against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 4' GOAL! Grischa Promel scores on 4.
- 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 422 games and scored 556 goals.
- 14' Pavel Kaderabek is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
- 17' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Akpoguma argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 21' What composure from Wout Weghorst! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 21' Anthony Rouault was booked on 21.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 32' Anton Stach has so much to prove this time. He replaces Florian Grillitsch on 32 minute.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 47' It’s high time Sebastian Hoeneß made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 52' Ihlas Bebou has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pavel Kaderabek on 52 minute.
- 57' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Chris Fuhrich is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
- 64' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 64 minute. Anthony Rouault leaves to be changed by Dan-Axel Zagadou.
- 66' A goal from the Denmark international Robert Skov! He fires home on 66 to make it 1-3!
- 67' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Pascal Stenzel trudges off to be replaced by Jamie Leweling on 67 minutes.
- 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 73' Deniz Undav makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and VfB Stuttgart are in front.
- 78' Another substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to replace Tom Bischof by Umut Tohumcu on 78 minute.
- 80' Chris Fuhrich is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 83' Jovan Milosevic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chris Fuhrich on 83 minute.
- 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pellegrino Matarazzo will be considering his options from the bench.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to claim maximum points.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 33
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Jamie Leweling 67'
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jovan Milosevic 83'
- 21
- 26
- 8
- 29
- 6
- 14
Bench
-
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 64'
- 17
- 7
- 10
- 20
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 67'
-
25
Lilian Egloff ↑ 83'
- 42
-
19
Jovan Milosevic ↑ 83'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 22
- 25
- 1
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↓ Ihlas Bebou 52'
- 11
- 6
- 29
- 14
-
39
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 78'
Bench
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 52'
- 7
-
21
Marius Bulter ↑ 78'
- 18
- 20
- 41
-
16
Anton Stach ↑ 32'
- 37
-
40
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 78'
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 6 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 3 |
| Tiago Tomas | 2 |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 |
| Ishak Belfodil | 2 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
| Roberto Massimo | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2023-10-28
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-10-21
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
2023-10-07
SV Werder Bremen
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-09-29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Borussia Dortmund
L
2023-09-23
1. FC Union Berlin
0–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-09-16
1. FC Koln
1–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.04
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
65%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
60%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

