VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

VfB Stuttgart

2 – 3

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 53,200 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Grischa Promel

0–2 21' Wout Weghorst pen

Chris Fuhrich 61' 1–2

1–3 66' Robert Skov

Deniz Undav 73' 2–3

Y 17' Kevin Akpoguma

Anthony Rouault 21' Y

Chris Fuhrich 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Felix Zwayer
Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 15 games · Avg 3.2 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-05-27 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-01-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2022-02-25 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart 2021-10-02 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–3	L
21 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–0	W
07 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
30 Sep	1. FC Köln	A	2–0	W
22 Sep	SV Darmstadt 98	H	3–1	W
16 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	3–1	W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–2	W
21 Oct	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–3	L
07 Oct	SV Werder Bremen	A	3–2	W
29 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–3	L
23 Sep	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–0	W
16 Sep	1. FC Köln	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#15	Position	#14
3	Points	3
4	Played	4
1 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
6	Scored	7
9	Conceded	10
-3	GD	-3
0.75	PPG	0.75
25%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
4' What a moment for Grischa Promel! That strike on 4 puts his side firmly in control.
9' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
17' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Akpoguma is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Yellow card on 17.
21' Wout Weghorst has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
21' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Anthony Rouault.
26' Anton Stach is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
32' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Florian Grillitsch is replaced by Anton Stach.
37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
42' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 3-1-4-2 shape.
47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
52' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ihlas Bebou is hanging Pavel Kaderabek on the field on 52 minute.
57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 440 games and scored 446 goals.
61' Chris Fuhrich doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
64' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Dan-Axel Zagadou on, Anthony Rouault off on 64 minutes.
66' Robert Skov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 66 minutes.
67' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Jamie Leweling comes on to replace Pascal Stenzel.
72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pavel Kaderabek made 409 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
73' Brilliant from the ! Deniz Undav makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 73.
78' Umut Tohumcu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Bischof on 78 minute.
80' Chris Fuhrich was booked on 80.
83' The supporters are chanting for Jovan Milosevic. He replaces Chris Fuhrich on 83 minute.
88' Waldemar Anton has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfB Stuttgart 2-3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
2
Waldemar Anton
33
Alexander Nubel
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Jamie Leweling 67'
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jovan Milosevic 83'
21
Hiroki Ito
26
Deniz Undav
8
Enzo Millot
29
Anthony Rouault ↓ Dan-Axel Zagadou 64'
6
Angelo Stiller
14
Silas Katompa Mvumpa ↓ Lilian Egloff 83'

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	6
Christoph Baumgartner	3
Adam Hlozek	2
Ishak Belfodil	2
Chris Fuhrich	2
Roberto Massimo	2
Wataru Endo	2
Sehrou Guirassy	2

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-10-21 1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2023-10-07 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2023-09-30 1. FC Köln 0–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2023-09-22 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-10-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2023-10-07 SV Werder Bremen 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-09-29 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Borussia Dortmund L 2023-09-23 1. FC Union Berlin 0–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-09-16 1. FC Köln 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.13 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart40% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim37%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

63%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

60%

VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart32% Draw37% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 3

Actual

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 3

3.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

0 – 2

3.3%

1 – 0

2.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	17%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	17%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.