VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | 1. FC Koln | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 62 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 71 | Scored | 65 |
| 49 | Conceded | 52 |
| +22 | GD | +13 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart are looking to make home advantage count against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Grischa Promel makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 9' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 14' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 17' Kevin Akpoguma is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
- 21' Wout Weghorst is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anthony Rouault on 21.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Florian Grillitsch has done his job and it is now time for Anton Stach to step up.
- 37' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 42' Anton Stach has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 313 appearances.
- 47' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 52' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Ihlas Bebou comes on to replace Pavel Kaderabek.
- 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maximilian Beier suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chris Fuhrich makes it 1-2.
- 64' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Anthony Rouault is replaced by Dan-Axel Zagadou.
- 66' Robert Skov doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Pascal Stenzel is replaced by Jamie Leweling.
- 72' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 73' A stunning finish from Deniz Undav — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 78' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Tom Bischof is replaced by Umut Tohumcu.
- 80' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Chris Fuhrich on 80 minutes.
- 83' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Jovan Milosevic comes on to replace Chris Fuhrich.
- 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 33
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Jamie Leweling 67'
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jovan Milosevic 83'
- 21
- 26
- 8
- 29
- 6
- 14
Bench
-
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 64'
- 17
- 7
- 10
- 20
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 67'
-
25
Lilian Egloff ↑ 83'
- 42
-
19
Jovan Milosevic ↑ 83'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 22
- 25
- 1
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↓ Ihlas Bebou 52'
- 11
- 6
- 29
- 14
-
39
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 78'
Bench
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 52'
- 7
-
21
Marius Bulter ↑ 78'
- 18
- 20
- 41
-
16
Anton Stach ↑ 32'
- 37
-
40
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 78'
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 6 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 3 |
| Roberto Massimo | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 2 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 2 |
| Marc-Oliver Kempf | 2 |
| Tiago Tomas | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2023-10-28
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-10-21
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
2023-10-07
SV Werder Bremen
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-09-29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Borussia Dortmund
L
2023-09-23
1. FC Union Berlin
0–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-09-16
1. FC Koln
1–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.14
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
66%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
58%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
1 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

