Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sydney FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Auckland FC A 0–1 L
31 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 4–1 W
26 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 0–4 L
18 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–2 L
10 Jan Macarthur FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Sydney FC A 2–1 W
08 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–3 L
30 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan Brisbane Roar FC A 3–2 W
17 Jan Melbourne Victory FC H 2–1 W
11 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Sydney FC Adelaide United FC
#5 Position #2
39 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
33 Scored 46
25 Conceded 36
+8 GD +10
1.50 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Adelaide United FC 73% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sydney FC38% Draw27% Adelaide United FC35%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
62%
Sydney FC or Adelaide United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC30% Draw42% Adelaide United FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.