Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Sydney FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 28 Dec 2024 · 08:35 UTC Sydney Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

R 16' Zinedine Machach

Y 51' Jason Geria

Y 67' Jing Reec

Adrian Segecic 68' Y

Y 70' Bruno Fornaroli

Y 79' Brendan Hamill

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Sydney Football Stadium.

Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Sydney FC 22 games · Avg 3.2 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Sydney FC 2023-12-16 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Sydney FC 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-03-04 Sydney FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Sydney FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–0	W
20 Dec	Adelaide United FC	A	3–3	D
14 Dec	Western United FC	H	3–4	L
08 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–2	L
23 Nov	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	4–2	W
10 Nov	Macarthur FC	H	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
08 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	2–0	W
01 Dec	Western United FC	A	3–1	W
24 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–1	L
09 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Sydney FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#5	Position	#4
39	Points	40
26	Played	26
11 / 6 / 9	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
33	Scored	44
25	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+11
1.50	PPG	1.54
42%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sydney FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sydney FC

Tiago Quintal	5 G	3 A
Al Hassan Toure	5 G	1 A
Campuzano	4 G	3 A
Joe Lolley	4 G	2 A
Patrick Wood	4 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sydney FC launch into their encounter with Melbourne Victory FC.
2' Sydney FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joe Lolley on 2.
7' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sydney FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
16' Zinedine Machach catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 16.
21' Sydney FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
26' Goal! Joe Lolley scores his 52 goal in 372 matches.
31' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ufuk Talay might look to freshen things up shortly.
36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brendan Hamill, as he is very good at scoring at Sydney Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
41' It’s high time Arthur Diles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
46' Bruno Fornaroli is replacing Nikolaos Vergos for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
48' A change in the Sydney FC ranks — Douglas Costa exits the field as Jaiden Kucharski enters on 48.
51' Poor challenge from Jason Geria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
56' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
64' The whistle greets Reno Piscopo as he departs to be replaced by Jing Reec.
67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jing Reec on 67.
68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adrian Segecic.
70' That looks like a foul for a card for Bruno Fornaroli.
75' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Teague is withdrawn and Fabian Monge gets his opportunity.
79' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a card on 79.
81' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adama Traore is hanging Kasey Bos on the field on 81 minute.
86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jaiden Kucharski makes it 3-0.
87' Sydney FC make a change. Joe Lolley trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Amanatidis on 87 minutes.
90' Tiago Quintal is replacing Anas Ouahim for the Sydney FC side.
3-0 the final result. Melbourne Victory FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Andrew Redmayne
16
Joel King ↑ 87'
13
Patrick Wood
3
Aaron Gurd ↑ 87'
25
Jaiden Kucharski ↑ 48'
28
Nathan Amanatidis ↑ 87'
20
Tiago Quintal ↑ 90'

Coach Ufuk Talay

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 46'
3
Adama Traore ↑ 81'
22
Joshua Rawlins
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 75'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 64'
30
Daniel Graskoski
11
Clarismario ↑ 46'

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Le Fondre	8
Kosta Barbarouses	5
Ola Toivonen	4
Milos Ninkovic	4
Bobo	3
Zinedine Machach	3
Bruno Fornaroli	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Sydney FC Form

2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-12-20 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Sydney FC D 2024-12-14 Sydney FC 3–4 Western United FC L 2024-12-08 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Sydney FC L 2024-11-23 Sydney FC 4–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2024-11-10 Sydney FC 1–2 Macarthur FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Perth Glory FC W 2024-12-01 Western United FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.61 Sydney FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sydney FC46% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Sydney FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

54%

Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sydney FC33% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC22%

Actual: Sydney FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

2 – 1

1 – 0

8.7%

0 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.6%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap	Sydney FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.