Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,775 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Joao Pedro
0–2 56' Georginio Rutter
0–3 71' Kaoru Mitoma
0–4 82' Jack Hinshelwood

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
15 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–3 L
08 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Southampton FC A 4–0 W
14 Feb Chelsea FC H 3–0 W
08 Feb Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–7 L
25 Jan Everton FC H 0–1 L
19 Jan Manchester United FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC26% Draw25% Brighton & Hove Albion FC49%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
74%
Southampton FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC21% Draw42% Brighton & Hove Albion FC37%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.