Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,037 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Dango Ouattara
0–2 16' Ryan Christie
1–3 83' Marcus Tavernier

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–3 L
08 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Southampton FC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Everton FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
25 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 5–0 W
18 Jan Newcastle United FC A 4–1 W
14 Jan Chelsea FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Saint Mary's!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dango Ouattara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 8' Lewis Cook is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
  • 10' William Smallbone is having his name booked by the referee on 10.
  • 14' A goal from the Burkina Faso international Dango Ouattara! He fires home on 14 to make it 0-1!
  • 16' The deadlock is broken! Ryan Christie gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
  • 21' AFC Bournemouth are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 26' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a card for Antoine Semenyo.
  • 37' Paul Onuachu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Bournemouth needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Welington is replaced by Yukinari Sugawara on 46 minute.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' Southampton FC make a change. William Smallbone trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Dibling on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Welington has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 67' Marcus Tavernier gets the nod from AFC Bournemouth. He replaces David Brooks and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' GOAL! Kamal Deen Sulemana fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 77' The AFC Bournemouth bench stirs into life. Justin Kluivert is withdrawn and Alex Scott gets his opportunity.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcus Tavernier on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Against the run of play, Marcus Tavernier has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 85' Southampton FC make a change. Joe Aribo trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Manning on 85 minutes.
  • 88' The AFC Bournemouth manager makes a substitution. Ryan Christie departs to be replaced by Luis Sinisterra.
  • With this win, AFC Bournemouth is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC27% Draw27% AFC Bournemouth46%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
73%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC20% Draw46% AFC Bournemouth34%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.