Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,037 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Dango Ouattara
0–2 16' Ryan Christie
1–3 83' Marcus Tavernier

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC BournemouthPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–3 L
08 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Southampton FC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Everton FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
25 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 5–0 W
18 Jan Newcastle United FC A 4–1 W
14 Jan Chelsea FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC27% Draw27% AFC Bournemouth46%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
73%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC20% Draw46% AFC Bournemouth34%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
21%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.