Thursday , 2 July 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Chelsea FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC The American Express Community Stadium 23,279 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Bart Verbruggen og
Georginio Rutter 12' 1–1
Kaoru Mitoma 57' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Chelsea FCFA Cup at The American Express Community Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–7 L
25 Jan Everton FC H 0–1 L
19 Jan Manchester United FC A 3–1 W
16 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Norwich City FC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
03 Feb West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
25 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
20 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
14 Jan AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
11 Jan Morecambe FC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
1/
16-30
2/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Pedro Neto 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.58 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC46% Draw26% Chelsea FC28%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Chelsea FC
54%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Chelsea FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC31% Draw45% Chelsea FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.