Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,673 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 73' Ollie Watkins
0–2 79' Donyell Malen
0–3 90+4' John McGinn

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
06 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
02 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
25 Feb Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Southampton FC A 3–0 W
09 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
05 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–0 W
30 Mar Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
12 Mar Club Brugge KV H 3–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Saint Mary's as Southampton FC face off against Aston Villa FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Aston Villa FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Ezri Konsa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 20' Mateus Fernandes is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Mateus Fernandes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Paul Onuachu is withdrawn and Tyler Dibling gets his opportunity.
  • 51' John McGinn has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 76 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' Southampton FC make a change. Cameron Archer trudges off to be replaced by Ross Stewart on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Marcus Rashford has done his job and it is now time for Ollie Watkins to step up.
  • 68' That is a card for Southampton FC. Jan Bednarek will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' GOAL! Ollie Watkins scores on 73. Assisted by Youri Tielemans
  • 78' Paul Onuachu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' A goal from the Netherlands international Donyell Malen! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-2!
  • 82' Ryan Manning makes way for Yukinari Sugawara at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 85' Andres Garcia is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matty Cash at the 85 minute mark.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for John McGinn.
  • 88' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Mateus Fernandes is withdrawn and Jay Robinson gets his opportunity.
  • Aston Villa FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC20% Draw26% Aston Villa FC54%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
80%
Southampton FC or Aston Villa FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw47% Aston Villa FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.