Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,673 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 73' Ollie Watkins
0–2 79' Donyell Malen
0–3 90+4' John McGinn

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
06 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
02 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
25 Feb Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Southampton FC A 3–0 W
09 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
05 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–0 W
30 Mar Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
12 Mar Club Brugge KV H 3–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aston Villa FC gets underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Southampton FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 20' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Jan Bednarek has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and Aston Villa FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 38' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Paul Onuachu exits the field as Tyler Dibling enters on 46.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ezri Konsa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 61' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Cameron Archer exits the field as Ross Stewart enters on 61.
  • 66' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Marcus Rashford exits the field as Ollie Watkins enters on 66.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Jan Bednarek on 68 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 73' Goal! Ollie Watkins scores his 138 goal in 344 matches.
  • 78' Southampton FC currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 79' A goal from the Netherlands international Donyell Malen! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-2!
  • 82' Yukinari Sugawara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Manning at the 82 minute mark.
  • 85' Andres Garcia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matty Cash on 85 minute.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for John McGinn.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Taylor Harwood-Bellis.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Mateus Fernandes is replaced by Jay Robinson on 89 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC20% Draw26% Aston Villa FC54%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
80%
Southampton FC or Aston Villa FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw47% Aston Villa FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.