Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,673 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 73' Ollie Watkins
0–2 79' Donyell Malen
0–3 90+4' John McGinn

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
06 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
02 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
25 Feb Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Southampton FC A 3–0 W
09 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
05 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–0 W
30 Mar Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
12 Mar Club Brugge KV H 3–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Southampton FC and Aston Villa FC is underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It’s high time Simon Rusk made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mateus Fernandes, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Mateus Fernandes. He receives a card.
  • 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Paul Onuachu is replaced by Tyler Dibling on 46 minute.
  • 51' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Ross Stewart. He replaces Cameron Archer on 61 minute.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Ollie Watkins. He replaces Marcus Rashford on 66 minute.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Jan Bednarek.
  • 73' Ollie Watkins puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
  • 78' Donyell Malen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 79' Goal! Donyell Malen scores his 113 goal in 436 matches.
  • 82' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Ryan Manning by Yukinari Sugawara on 82 minute.
  • 85' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andres Garcia is hanging Matty Cash on the field on 85 minute.
  • 87' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 88.
  • 89' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jay Robinson is hanging Mateus Fernandes on the field on 89 minute.
  • Full Time. Aston Villa FC beats Southampton FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC20% Draw26% Aston Villa FC54%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
80%
Southampton FC or Aston Villa FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw47% Aston Villa FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.