Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 21 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Lyanco 13' Y
Y 64' Douglas Luiz
Y 82' Alex Moreno

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Referee Daniel Robathan
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Referee Richard West
  • Referee
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
14 Jan Everton FC A 2–1 W
07 Jan Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
04 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
31 Dec Fulham FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
04 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Southampton FC host Aston Villa FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 13' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Lyanco gets a Yellow card.
  • 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Alex Moreno has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 352 games and scored 427 goals.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nathan Jones will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' The 34-year-old Philippe Coutinho has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Aston Villa FC's compact .
  • 61' Another change for Southampton FC made on 61 minute. Che Adams leaves to be changed by Sekou Mara.
  • 62' Romain Perraud gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Samuel Edozie and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' with the perfectly-timed delivery and James Ward-Prowse makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 64' Brilliant from the midfielder! James Ward-Prowse makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 64.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Douglas Luiz on 64.
  • 69' Philippe Coutinho gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Emiliano Buendia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 77' Goal! Ollie Watkins scores his 138 goal in 346 matches.
  • 78' Ollie Watkins adds to his 1 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' Matty Cash has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leon Bailey on 81 minute.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alex Moreno.
  • 84' Another change for Southampton FC made on 84 minute. Adam Armstrong leaves to be changed by Mislav Orsic.
  • 88' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Douglas Luiz by Leander Dendoncker on 88 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.72 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw31% Aston Villa FC46%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
77%
Southampton FC or Aston Villa FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw54% Aston Villa FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 4
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 25% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.