Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Fri 16 Sep 2022 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Ian Hussin
  • Referee Lee Betts

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Southampton FC H 1–0 W
03 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
28 Aug West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
20 Aug Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L
13 Aug Everton FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
03 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
27 Aug Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
20 Aug Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
13 Aug Leeds United FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC47% Draw29% Southampton FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Southampton FC
53%
Aston Villa FC or Southampton FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC31% Draw51% Southampton FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.