Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,673 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 73' Ollie Watkins
0–2 79' Donyell Malen
0–3 90+4' John McGinn

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
06 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
02 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
25 Feb Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Southampton FC A 3–0 W
09 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
05 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
02 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–0 W
30 Mar Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
12 Mar Club Brugge KV H 3–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Southampton FC welcome Aston Villa FC for this crunch clash at Saint Mary's.
  • 5' Paul Onuachu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Ian Maatsen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Simon Rusk will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mateus Fernandes on 38.
  • 43' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Aston Villa FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Paul Onuachu exits the field as Tyler Dibling enters on 46.
  • 51' Aston Villa FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Cameron Archer is replaced by Ross Stewart.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Marcus Rashford is replaced by Ollie Watkins.
  • 68' Jan Bednarek picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Ollie Watkins doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 78' John McGinn has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 79' A goal from the Netherlands international Donyell Malen! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-2!
  • 82' Yukinari Sugawara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Manning on 82 minute.
  • 85' Matty Cash makes way for Andres Garcia at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 87' A moment of madness from John McGinn on 87 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Taylor Harwood-Bellis.
  • 89' Southampton FC make a change. Mateus Fernandes trudges off to be replaced by Jay Robinson on 89 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Southampton FC 0-3 Aston Villa FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC20% Draw26% Aston Villa FC54%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
80%
Southampton FC or Aston Villa FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw47% Aston Villa FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.