Thursday , 15 October 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct FC Mito Holly Hock A 2–1 W
19 Sep JEF United Ichihara Chiba H 2–1 W
12 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
06 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
02 Sep FC Tokyo H 1–1 D
29 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
20 Sep Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Tokyo H 0–2 L
06 Sep JEF United Ichihara Chiba A 0–2 L
02 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–2 D
29 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Gamba Osaka
#7 Position #5
24 Points 28
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
40 Scored 61
42 Conceded 53
-2 GD +8
1.33 PPG 1.56
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
13% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
4/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G
Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

H2H

Predictions

2.35 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

Shimizu S-Pulse46% Draw22% Gamba Osaka32%

Both Teams to Score

Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.49

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
67%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
54%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Gamba Osaka
78%

Half-Time Result

Shimizu S-Pulse35% Draw35% Gamba Osaka30%

Correct Score

2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%
4 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 17% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 16% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
13%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.