Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 28 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 61 | Scored | 40 |
| 53 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | -2 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Suita City Football Stadium that hosts another battle between Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 403 games and scored 377 goals.
- 15' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Kengo Kitazume on, Reon Yamahara off on 15 minutes.
- 20' Issam Jebali is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
- 25' The travelling Shimizu S-Pulse supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dani Poyatos might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 36' Ryoya Yamashita puts Gamba Osaka on the lead.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tadahiro Akiba will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryoya Yamashita on 43 minutes.
- 46' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Yudai Shimamoto is replaced by Kazuki Kozuka.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Gamba Osaka winning 100% of all matches.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Makoto Mitsuta on 58.
- 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 66' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Takashi Inui trudges off to be replaced by Ahmed Ahmedov on 66 minutes.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Zento Uno.
- 68' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Makoto Mitsuta exits the field as Shoji Toyama enters on 68.
- 69' It’s gonna be a card for Tokuma Suzuki.
- 74' Shimizu S-Pulse fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Rin Mito is replacing Tokuma Suzuki for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 80' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Zento Uno is withdrawn and Motoki Nishihara gets his opportunity.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jun Ichimori.
- 87' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Shu Kurata exits the field as Shinya Nakano enters on 87.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Shinya Nakano 87'
- 67
- 4
- 6
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Rin Mito 77'
-
51
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Shoji Toyama 68'
- 3
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 68'
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 87'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 77'
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 77'
- 42
- 38
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Takashi Inui ↓ Ahmed Ahmedov 66'
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Douglas Tanque 80'
- 98
- 4
-
14
Reon Yamahara ↓ Kengo Kitazume 15'
- 66
- 11
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Kazuki Kozuka 46'
-
36
Zento Uno ↓ Motoki Nishihara 80'
- 70
Bench
-
99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 80'
- 28
- 3
-
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↑ 46'
- 16
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 15'
- 6
-
29
Ahmed Ahmedov ↑ 66'
-
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 80'
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hwang Uijo | 3 |
| Kosuke Onose | 3 |
| Ademilson | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Hwang Uijo | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Yugo Tatsuta | 2 |
| Harumi Minamino | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
2025-03-08
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–0
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-02-16
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2022-11-05
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
4–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.71
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
74%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
46%
Gamba Osaka or Shimizu S-Pulse
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Shimizu S-Pulse covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 18% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 13% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.