Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
02 Mar Tōkyō Verdy A 1–0 W
26 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
14 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–5 L
08 Dec Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
02 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–1 D
26 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
22 Feb Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
16 Feb Tōkyō Verdy A 1–0 W
05 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Shimizu S-Pulse
#5 Position #7
28 Points 24
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
61 Scored 40
53 Conceded 42
+8 GD -2
1.56 PPG 1.33
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G
Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Suita City Football Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Reon Yamahara exits the field as Kengo Kitazume enters on 15.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tadahiro Akiba might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Reon Yamahara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
  • 35' Jelani Sumiyoshi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
  • 36' What a moment for Ryoya Yamashita! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryoya Yamashita on 43 minutes.
  • 46' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Yudai Shimamoto departs to be replaced by Kazuki Kozuka.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' Takashi Inui has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Makoto Mitsuta on 58 minutes.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 66' Ahmed Ahmedov gets the nod from Shimizu S-Pulse. He replaces Takashi Inui and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Zento Uno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 68' Shoji Toyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta on 68 minute.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Tokuma Suzuki argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 74' Ahmed Ahmedov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Rin Mito on, Tokuma Suzuki off on 77 minutes.
  • 80' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Zento Uno has done his job and it is now time for Motoki Nishihara to step up.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Jun Ichimori argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 87' Shinya Nakano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shu Kurata on 87 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shimizu S-Pulse.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.71 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka54% Draw20% Shimizu S-Pulse26%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
74%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
46%
Gamba Osaka or Shimizu S-Pulse
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka42% Draw34% Shimizu S-Pulse24%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 15% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 18% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
15% ✗
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.