Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 28 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 61 | Scored | 40 |
| 53 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | -2 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Suita City Football Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Reon Yamahara exits the field as Kengo Kitazume enters on 15.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tadahiro Akiba might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Reon Yamahara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
- 35' Jelani Sumiyoshi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
- 36' What a moment for Ryoya Yamashita! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryoya Yamashita on 43 minutes.
- 46' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Yudai Shimamoto departs to be replaced by Kazuki Kozuka.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Takashi Inui has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Makoto Mitsuta on 58 minutes.
- 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 66' Ahmed Ahmedov gets the nod from Shimizu S-Pulse. He replaces Takashi Inui and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Poor challenge from Zento Uno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 68' Shoji Toyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta on 68 minute.
- 69' Controversy at the stadium! Tokuma Suzuki argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' Ahmed Ahmedov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 77' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Rin Mito on, Tokuma Suzuki off on 77 minutes.
- 80' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Zento Uno has done his job and it is now time for Motoki Nishihara to step up.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Jun Ichimori argues furiously but the card stands.
- 87' Shinya Nakano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shu Kurata on 87 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shimizu S-Pulse.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Shinya Nakano 87'
- 67
- 4
- 6
- 22
- 17
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Rin Mito 77'
-
51
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Shoji Toyama 68'
- 3
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 68'
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 87'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 77'
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 77'
- 42
- 38
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Takashi Inui ↓ Ahmed Ahmedov 66'
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Douglas Tanque 80'
- 98
- 4
-
14
Reon Yamahara ↓ Kengo Kitazume 15'
- 66
- 11
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↓ Kazuki Kozuka 46'
-
36
Zento Uno ↓ Motoki Nishihara 80'
- 70
Bench
-
99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 80'
- 28
- 3
-
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↑ 46'
- 16
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 15'
- 6
-
29
Ahmed Ahmedov ↑ 66'
-
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 80'
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosuke Onose | 3 |
| Hwang Uijo | 3 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Yugo Tatsuta | 2 |
| Ademilson | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Hwang Uijo | 2 |
| Douglas | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
2025-03-08
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–0
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-02-16
Tōkyō Verdy
0–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2022-11-05
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
4–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.71
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
74%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
46%
Gamba Osaka or Shimizu S-Pulse
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Shimizu S-Pulse covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 18% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 13% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

