Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-PulseJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Atsushi Kamimura
13 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 7.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
22 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
07 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 5–4 W
06 Dec Tokyo Verdy H 4–1 W
30 Nov Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
21 Feb Vissel Kobe H 1–0 W
14 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
06 Dec Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
30 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Shimizu S-Pulse
#5 Position #7
28 Points 24
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
61 Scored 40
53 Conceded 42
+8 GD -2
1.56 PPG 1.33
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.78 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka61% Draw19% Shimizu S-Pulse20%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
80%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
39%
Gamba Osaka or Shimizu S-Pulse
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka47% Draw34% Shimizu S-Pulse19%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 17% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 19% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
21%
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.