Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #13 |
| 24 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 40 | Scored | 42 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| -2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Shimizu S-Pulse host FC Machida Zelvia — let the battle begin!
- 5' Takaya Numata, a Japan forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 21' Takuma Nishimura has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
- 26' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 31' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
- 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 46' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Jelani Sumiyoshi on, Kento Haneda off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Shimizu S-Pulse currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 59' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Se-hun Oh departs to be replaced by Mitchell Duke.
- 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 66' The Japan Koya Kitagawa breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-1!
- 67' Kotaro Hayashi doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 69' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Kai Matsuzaki is replaced by Shinya Yajima on 69 minute.
- 74' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Kengo Kitazume departs to be replaced by Reon Yamahara.
- 78' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Douglas Tanque on, Koya Kitagawa off on 78 minutes.
- 82' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Hokuto Shimoda to step up.
- 84' GOAL! Douglas Tanque scores on 84. Assisted by Capixaba
- 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Mitchell Duke has done his job and it is now time for Kanji Kuwayama to step up.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 33
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Douglas Tanque 78'
-
41
Kento Haneda ↓ Jelani Sumiyoshi 46'
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↓ Reon Yamahara 74'
- 98
- 4
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Shinya Yajima 69'
-
36
Zento Uno ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 78'
- 70
Bench
-
99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 78'
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 69'
-
14
Reon Yamahara ↑ 74'
-
66
Jelani Sumiyoshi ↑ 46'
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
- 47
- 71
- 55
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 82'
- 16
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Shota Fujio 59'
- 26
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 59'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 82'
- 99
- 13
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 59'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 59'
- 49
- 39
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 82'
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Takuma Nishimura | 4 |
| Koki Ogawa | 1 |
| Neta Lavi | 1 |
| Douglas Tanque | 1 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Ryuho Kikuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-05-11
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-07
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2025-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-04-25
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2025-04-20
Vissel Kobe
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
60%
Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

