Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sun 11 May 2025 · 04:05 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-11 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–2	D
06 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L
03 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
29 Apr	FC Tōkyō	A	2–0	W
20 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
16 Apr	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	3–2	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
03 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		FC Machida Zelvia
#7	Position	#13
24	Points	37
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
40	Scored	42
42	Conceded	33
-2	GD	+9
1.33	PPG	2.06
44%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/4

61-75

4/1

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

Se-hun Oh	2 G
Koya Kitagawa	1 G

FC Machida Zelvia

Yuki Soma	3 G	3 A
Koki Ogawa	3 G
Hotaka Nakamura	2 G	1 A
Tete Yengi	2 G	1 A
Takuma Nishimura	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds IAI Stadium Nihondaira will turn into a battlefield for Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Machida Zelvia.
5' Hikaru Nakahara is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
15' It looks surprising Shimizu S-Pulse does not make any changes. Mitchell Duke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
20' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
21' Takuma Nishimura doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
31' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
46' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Kento Haneda departs to be replaced by Jelani Sumiyoshi.
51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
56' Gen Shoji needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
59' Mitchell Duke gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Se-hun Oh and will look to change the dynamic.
64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
66' What a moment for Koya Kitagawa! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
67' Kotaro Hayashi adds to his 1 season tally! FC Machida Zelvia lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
69' Shinya Yajima is replacing Kai Matsuzaki for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
74' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Kengo Kitazume is replaced by Reon Yamahara.
78' Koya Kitagawa makes way for Douglas Tanque at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
82' Keiya Sento makes way for Hokuto Shimoda at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
84' The deadlock is broken! Douglas Tanque gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
89' The 22-year-old Zento Uno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
90' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Mitchell Duke is replaced by Kanji Kuwayama.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 78'
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 69'
14
Reon Yamahara ↑ 74'
66
Jelani Sumiyoshi ↑ 46'
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
47
Yudai Shimamoto
71
Yui Inokoshi
55
Motoki Nishihara

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Koya Kitagawa	1
Takuma Nishimura	1
Kotaro Hayashi	1
Yuki Soma	1
Ryuho Kikuchi	1
Takaya Numata	1
Douglas Tanque	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.95 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.12 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse40% Draw23% FC Machida Zelvia37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

63%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

60%

Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw38% FC Machida Zelvia33%

Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 3

4.9%

3 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

4.3%

0 – 2

2 – 0

3.4%

0 – 1

3.2%

3 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	16%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	18%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Clean Sheet