Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sun 11 May 2025 · 04:05 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-11 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–2	D
06 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L
03 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
29 Apr	FC Tōkyō	A	2–0	W
20 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
16 Apr	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	3–2	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
03 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		FC Machida Zelvia
#7	Position	#13
24	Points	37
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
40	Scored	42
42	Conceded	33
-2	GD	+9
1.33	PPG	2.06
44%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

3/1

61-75

2/1

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Machida Zelvia has kicked off!
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takashi Inui suffering a number of foals already.
15' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
21' Takuma Nishimura puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
26' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Hokuto Shimoda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hikaru Nakahara made 369 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
36' It’s high time Tadahiro Akiba made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
41' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
46' Jelani Sumiyoshi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kento Haneda on 46 minute.
51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
56' Hiroyuki Mae has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
59' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Se-hun Oh by Mitchell Duke on 59 minute.
64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 367 games and scored 286 goals.
66' Goal! Koya Kitagawa scores his 43 goal in 367 matches.
67' Sensational shot from Kotaro Hayashi. FC Machida Zelvia is back in the lead.
69' The Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes a substitution. Kai Matsuzaki departs to be replaced by Shinya Yajima.
74' It is a substitution in Shimizu S-Pulse team. Kengo Kitazume is replaced by Reon Yamahara on 74 minute.
78' The supporters are chanting for Douglas Tanque. He replaces Koya Kitagawa on 78 minute.
82' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 82 minute. Keiya Sento leaves to be changed by Hokuto Shimoda.
84' What a strike from Douglas Tanque! The score is 2-2.
89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
90' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Mitchell Duke departs to be replaced by Kanji Kuwayama.
The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 78'
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 69'
14
Reon Yamahara ↑ 74'
66
Jelani Sumiyoshi ↑ 46'
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
47
Yudai Shimamoto
71
Yui Inokoshi
55
Motoki Nishihara

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Takuma Nishimura	1
Kotaro Hayashi	1
Yuki Soma	1
Ryuho Kikuchi	1
Takaya Numata	1
Douglas Tanque	1
Koya Kitagawa	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.95 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.12 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse40% Draw23% FC Machida Zelvia37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

63%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

60%

Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw38% FC Machida Zelvia33%

Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 3

4.9%

3 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

4.3%

0 – 2

2 – 0

3.4%

0 – 1

3.2%

3 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	16%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	18%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Clean Sheet