Sao Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 25 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 23 | Scored | 24 |
| 20 | Conceded | 28 |
| +3 | GD | -4 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Morumbi will turn into a battlefield for Sao Paulo FC and Cruzeiro EC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cruzeiro EC that had 250 games and scored 211 goals.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' Alisson is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 32' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ferreira scoring 3 goals.
- 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leonardo Jardim might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Luciano makes way for Damian Bobadilla at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 51' A moment of madness from Kaio Jorge on 51 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 52' GOAL! Ferreira scores on 52. Assisted by Cedric
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Enzo Diaz on 57.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Andre Silva.
- 65' What an equalizer from Kaio Jorge!
- 66' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Dudu comes on to replace Christian.
- 71' Andre Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matheus Pereira on 73 minutes.
- 77' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Ferreira exits the field as Ryan Rodrigues enters on 77.
- 78' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' Cruzeiro EC ring the changes. Lucas Silva has done his job and it is now time for Walace to step up.
- 81' Lucas Romero picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fagner.
- 86' Marquinhos gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Wanderson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Poor challenge from Fabricio Bruno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 6
- 20
- 28
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 2
- 18
- 35
- 32
- 36
- 15
- 21
- 43
- 37
- 49
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Walace 78'
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Lautaro Diaz 77'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Marquinhos 86'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
-
7
Dudu ↑ 66'
- 12
-
5
Walace ↑ 78'
- 9
-
17
Marquinhos ↑ 86'
- 75
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 86'
-
26
Lautaro Diaz ↑ 77'
- 14
- 41
- 32
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Christian | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
53%
Sao Paulo FC or Cruzeiro EC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 0
12.6%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

