Sao Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Bruno Pacheco has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's shape.
- 25' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Ferreira.
- 48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Juan Vojvoda will be considering his options from the bench.
- 53' Joao Ricardo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 58' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' Poor challenge from Joao Ricardo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Ferreira by Lucas Moura on 65 minute.
- 69' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Breno Lopes has done his job and it is now time for Marinho to step up.
- 73' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Gustavo will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 80' Deyverson gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Juan Lucero and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for David Luiz. He replaces Gustavo on 81 minute.
- 84' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Lucas Ferreira has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Rodrigues to step up.
- 89' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 18
- 28
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 21
- 48
- 47
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 6
- 7
- 35
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 49
- 45
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 6
- 88
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 80'
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Marinho 69'
- 14
- 8
-
39
Gustavo ↓ David Luiz 81'
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 69'
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 80'
-
23
David Luiz ↑ 81'
- 5
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 80'
- 10
- 17
- 12
- 77
- 38
- 19
- 41
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robson | 3 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| David | 2 |
| Wellington Paulista | 2 |
| Juan Lucero | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 1 |
| Imanol Machuca | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Sao Paulo FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
63%
Sao Paulo FC or Fortaleza EC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.