Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Takuto Okabe
- Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa
- Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at EDION Stadium Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against Albirex Niigata.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 14' Shusuke Ota adds to his 0 season tally! Albirex Niigata lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
- 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Albirex Niigata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' A goal from the Japan international Koji Suzuki! He fires home on 37 to make it 0-2!
- 38' Brilliant from the ! Koji Suzuki makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 38.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Deng is booked for Albirex Niigata — Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Taishi Matsumoto is replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Albirex Niigata's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Hiroki Akiyama is withdrawn and Yuzuru Shimada gets his opportunity.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sho Sasaki, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 72' Gustavo Nescau is ready to make an impact after coming on for Koji Suzuki at the 72 minute mark.
- 77' Hiroya Matsumoto is replacing Gakuto Notsuda for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 78' Yuzuru Shimada picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 79' Tsukasa Shiotani doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 80' What a moment for Tsukasa Shiotani! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
- 84' Yuto Horigome makes way for Daichi Tagami at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 85' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Yuto Horigome exits the field as Daichi Tagami enters on 85.
- 90' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a Yellow card on 90.
- 90' Sota Koshimichi is replacing Hayato Araki for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- With this win, Albirex Niigata is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
-
19
Sho Sasaki ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 46'
- 38
- 18
- 17
- 8
- 13
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
- 11
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 46'
Bench
- 22
-
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 46'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 77'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 46'
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 46'
- 16
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 8
- 35
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 65'
- 1
- 25
- 14
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 65'
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Daichi Tagami 84'
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Eitaro Matsuda 85'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Gustavo Nescau 72'
Bench
- 5
-
50
Daichi Tagami ↑ 84'
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 65'
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↑ 85'
-
23
Gustavo Nescau ↑ 72'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 65'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Tsukasa Shiotani | 1 |
| Shunsuke Mito | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Yoshiaki Takagi | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-02-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-02-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2022-11-05
Sagan Tosu FC
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2022-10-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
L
2022-10-08
Vissel Kobe
4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2022-10-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Albirex Niigata 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Albirex Niigata win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
60%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
68%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Albirex Niigata
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Albirex Niigata win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.