Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 07:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita 18,765 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Nassim Ben Khalifa

Takashi Usami 70' 1–1

1–2 90+4' Makoto Mitsuta pen

Y 19' Pieros Sotiriou

Neta Lavi 31' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Wazumi

5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 21 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-05-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-04-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	H	2–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
03 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
18 Feb	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–0	D
05 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
29 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5	Position	#4
28	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
61	Scored	41
53	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+8
1.56	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/4

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	5 G	3 A
Ryotaro Meshino	2 G
Welton	2 G
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Gamba Osaka gets underway.
2' Goal! Nassim Ben Khalifa scores his 8 goal in 3 matches.
7' Yusei Egawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
12' Makoto Mitsuta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
17' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
19' Controversy at the stadium! Pieros Sotiriou argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 416 games and scored 389 goals.
29' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
31' Neta Lavi was booked on 31.
36' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Pieros Sotiriou exits the field as Taishi Matsumoto enters on 46.
51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
70' What composure from Takashi Usami! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
71' Yuya Fukuda makes way for Ryotaro Meshino at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
73' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 73 minute. Taishi Matsumoto leaves to be changed by Shuto Nakano.
74' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 74 minute. Taishi Matsumoto leaves to be changed by Shuto Nakano.
79' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
83' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Riku Handa is replaced by Ryu Takao.
84' Takaaki Shichi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shunki Higashi at the 84 minute mark.
85' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Takashi Usami has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Yamamoto to step up.
90' Toshihiro Aoyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gakuto Notsuda on 90 minute.
Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Gamba Osaka

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosei Tani
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 71'
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 71'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 83'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 85'
2
Shota Fukuoka
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 84'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 46'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Patric	2
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-03-04 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Júbilo Iwata W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-02-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-02-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka38% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima39%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

61%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

62%

Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka32% Draw35% Sanfrecce Hiroshima33%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.1%

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 4

4 – 2

2.9%

0 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	16%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	16%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	12%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.