Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Wazumi
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
- 2' A goal from the Switzerland international Nassim Ben Khalifa! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
- 7' Gamba Osaka currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 12' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 19' A moment of madness from Pieros Sotiriou on 19 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
- 24' Gakuto Notsuda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 29' Japan international Keisuke Osako has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Neta Lavi.
- 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 41' The 30-year-old Hayato Araki has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' Taishi Matsumoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pieros Sotiriou on 46 minute.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yusei Egawa, as he is very good at scoring at Panasonic Stadium Suita with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 66' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 70' A goal from the Japan international Takashi Usami! He fires home on 70 to make it 1-1!
- 71' Ryotaro Meshino is replacing Yuya Fukuda for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 73' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Taishi Matsumoto is replaced by Shuto Nakano.
- 74' Shuto Nakano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taishi Matsumoto at the 74 minute mark.
- 79' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their 4-1-2-3 trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 83' Ryu Takao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Riku Handa at the 83 minute mark.
- 84' Takaaki Shichi gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Shunki Higashi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 85 minute. Takashi Usami leaves to be changed by Yuki Yamamoto.
- 90' Toshihiro Aoyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gakuto Notsuda at the 90 minute mark.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Yuki Yamamoto 85'
- 9
- 1
- 5
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Hiroto Yamami 83'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 71'
- 34
- 24
- 18
-
3
Riku Handa ↓ Ryu Takao 83'
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Rihito Yamamoto 71'
Bench
- 99
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 71'
-
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 71'
-
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 83'
-
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 85'
- 2
-
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'
Coach
Daniel Poyatos Algaba
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 84'
- 20
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 11
Bench
- 14
- 22
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 90'
-
17
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 46'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 84'
- 23
- 15
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-03-12
Gamba Osaka
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-03-03
Yokohama F·Marinos
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-02-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-02-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2022-11-05
Sagan Tosu FC
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2022-10-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
61%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
62%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 4
3%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

