Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 07:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita 18,765 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Nassim Ben Khalifa

Takashi Usami 70' 1–1

1–2 90+4' Makoto Mitsuta pen

Y 19' Pieros Sotiriou

Neta Lavi 31' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Wazumi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-05-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-04-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
03 Mar	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
18 Feb	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–0	D
05 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
29 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5	Position	#4
28	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
61	Scored	41
53	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+8
1.56	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Gamba Osaka have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
2' The Switzerland Nassim Ben Khalifa breaks the deadlock on 2 minutes. 0-1!
7' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
12' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
17' Gamba Osaka currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
19' That is a Yellow card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Pieros Sotiriou will be fuming at that decision.
24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
31' Controversy at the stadium! Neta Lavi argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
41' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Juan Alano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
46' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Pieros Sotiriou is withdrawn and Taishi Matsumoto gets his opportunity.
51' Shunki Higashi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
66' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
70' The deadlock is broken! Takashi Usami gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
71' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Yuya Fukuda is withdrawn and Ryotaro Meshino gets his opportunity.
73' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Taishi Matsumoto has done his job and it is now time for Shuto Nakano to step up.
74' Shuto Nakano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Taishi Matsumoto on 74 minute.
79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
83' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Riku Handa is replaced by Ryu Takao on 83 minute.
84' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaaki Shichi is hanging Shunki Higashi on the field on 84 minute.
85' Yuki Yamamoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takashi Usami on 85 minute.
90' Toshihiro Aoyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gakuto Notsuda on 90 minute.
Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosei Tani
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 71'
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 71'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 83'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 85'
2
Shota Fukuoka
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 84'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 46'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Isa Sakamoto	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2
Patric	2
Patric	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-03-04 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Jubilo Iwata W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-02-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-02-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka38% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima39%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

61%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

62%

Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka32% Draw35% Sanfrecce Hiroshima33%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.1%

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 4

4 – 2

2.9%

0 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	16%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	16%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	12%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.