Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 07:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita 18,765 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Nassim Ben Khalifa

Takashi Usami 70' 1–1

1–2 90+4' Makoto Mitsuta pen

Y 19' Pieros Sotiriou

Neta Lavi 31' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Wazumi

11 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-05-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-04-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
04 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
03 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
18 Feb	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–0	D
05 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
29 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5	Position	#4
28	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
61	Scored	41
53	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+8
1.56	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
2' Nassim Ben Khalifa adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
7' Dawhan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
17' Tsukasa Shiotani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
19' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 19.
24' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a 4-1-2-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
29' Gamba Osaka is showing some good football. However, Gamba Osaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
31' It’s a booking for Gamba Osaka player. Neta Lavi gets a Yellow card.
36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takashi Usami suffering a number of foals already.
41' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
46' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Taishi Matsumoto comes on to replace Pieros Sotiriou.
51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Poyatos Algaba will be considering his options from the bench.
56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
70' Takashi Usami doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
71' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Yuya Fukuda exits the field as Ryotaro Meshino enters on 71.
73' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Taishi Matsumoto trudges off to be replaced by Shuto Nakano on 73 minutes.
74' Shuto Nakano is replacing Taishi Matsumoto for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
79' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
83' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Riku Handa is withdrawn and Ryu Takao gets his opportunity.
84' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 84 minute. Shunki Higashi leaves to be changed by Takaaki Shichi.
85' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Yamamoto. He replaces Takashi Usami on 85 minute.
90' Gakuto Notsuda makes way for Toshihiro Aoyama at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosei Tani
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 71'
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 71'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 83'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 85'
2
Shota Fukuoka
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Toshihiro Aoyama 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Takaaki Shichi 84'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 46'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2
Patric	2
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-03-04 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Jubilo Iwata W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-02-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-02-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka38% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima39%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

61%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

62%

Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka32% Draw35% Sanfrecce Hiroshima33%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.1%

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 4

4 – 2

2.9%

0 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	16%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	16%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	12%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.