Saturday , 14 November 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 05:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai 15,714 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shinji Kagawa 38' 1–0
Mutsuki Kato 52' 2–0
2–1 86' Fuchi Honda

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Mitsuharu Taketa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
25 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 1–2 L
18 Feb Albirex Niigata H 2–2 D
05 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
29 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 4 G
Pablo Sabbag 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Koji Toriumi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 45' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' Croatia international Matej Jonjic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 60' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 75' Ryonosuke Kabayama is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 80' A quiet spell here at Yanmar Stadium Nagai. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 85' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Cerezo Osaka FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC50% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC33% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.