Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Cerezo Osaka FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 05:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai 15,714 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shinji Kagawa 38' 1–0
Mutsuki Kato 52' 2–0
2–1 86' Fuchi Honda
Y 0' Yoichi Naganuma
Y 42' Naoyuki Fujita
YR 90' Yoichi Naganuma

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Mitsuharu Taketa

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

8
4
4
Cerezo Osaka FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-07-24 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
25 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 1–2 L
18 Feb Albirex Niigata H 2–2 D
05 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
29 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–0 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Yanmar Stadium Nagai that hosts another battle between Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Hirotaka Tameda, a Japan , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Ryonosuke Kabayama is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taichi Kikuchi made 279 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Kosuke Yamazaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matej Jonjic, as he is very good at scoring at Yanmar Stadium Nagai with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 60' A quiet spell here at Yanmar Stadium Nagai. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 75' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 85' Yuki Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cerezo Osaka FC players.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kato Mutsuki 3
Bruno Mendes 3
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Hiroaki Okuno 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 2
Tokuma Suzuki 2
Yuta Higuchi 2

Head to Head

2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-07-24 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-03-04 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-02-25 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata D 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2022-10-29 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC50% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC33% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.