Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Mitsuharu Taketa
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Koji Toriumi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 45' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 50' Croatia international Matej Jonjic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
- 60' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 75' Ryonosuke Kabayama is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 80' A quiet spell here at Yanmar Stadium Nagai. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 85' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Cerezo Osaka FC take all three points.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Satoki Uejo 69'
- 25
- 6
- 2
- 22
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↓ Jordy Croux 83'
- 17
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Capixaba 83'
- 24
- 21
-
20
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Leo Ceara 69'
Bench
-
9
Leo Ceara ↑ 69'
-
27
Capixaba ↑ 83'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↑ 83'
- 3
- 5
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 69'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Yuji Ono 69'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Shinya Nakano 57'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Masaya Tashiro 57'
- 29
- 8
- 24
- 71
- 23
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Yuki Horigome 78'
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
-
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 69'
-
13
Shinya Nakano ↑ 57'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 58'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 57'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 78'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
50%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

