Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 3 Jul 2021 · 10:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yusuke Araki
Referee Koji Murakami
Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Referee Hiromichi Oka
Referee Ryosuke Murai
Referee Kota Watanabe

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2020-10-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
19 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–0	W
30 May	FC Tokyo	A	0–0	D
26 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–2	D
23 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
15 May	Tokushima Vortis	H	0–1	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
23 Jun	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–2	L
30 May	Vissel Kobe	A	1–1	D
26 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
22 May	Kashima Antlers	H	2–1	W
15 May	Oita FC Trinita	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC has kicked off!
5' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
10' Hayato Araki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hiroshi Jofuku might look to freshen things up shortly.
16' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Yuya Asano exits the field as Ezequiel enters on 16.
21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sho Sasaki, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
41' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ismael Dunga suffering a number of foals already.
56' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
62' Junior Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
63' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Tomoya Koyamatsu comes on to replace Yoshihiro Nakano.
68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
73' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Keita Yamashita by Ismael Dunga on 73 minute.
76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Ezequiel has done his job and it is now time for Kosei Shibasaki to step up.
81' With 1 assists to his name this season, Hayao Kawabe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
84' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Ayumu Ohata exits the field as Shinya Nakano enters on 84.
85' The supporters are chanting for Rhayner. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 85 minute.
90' Tsukasa Morishima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 335 appearances.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

37
Junior Santos ↓ Douglas Vieira 85'
19
Sho Sasaki
6
Toshihiro Aoyama
38
Keisuke Osako
2
Yuki Nogami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↓ Shunki Higashi 76'
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Rhayner 85'
8
Hayao Kawabe
4
Hayato Araki
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Ezequiel 16'
15
Tomoya Fujii

Bench

27
Rhayner ↑ 85'
14
Ezequiel ↑ 16'
1
Takuto Hayashi
30
Kosei Shibasaki
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 76'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 85'
33
Yuta Imazu

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 63'
3
Eduardo
41
Daiki Matsuoka
10
Yuta Higuchi
40
Park Ilkyu
4
Toshio Shimakawa
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 73'
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 84'
44
Keiya Sento
24
Nanasei Iino
9
Keita Yamashita ↓ Ismael Dunga 73'

Bench

33
Ismael Dunga ↑ 73'
1
Tatsuya Morita
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 63'
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 73'
30
Masaya Tashiro

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Takumu Kawamura	1
Toshihiro Aoyama	1
Shunki Higashi	1
Tsukasa Shiotani	1
Yuya Asano	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-06-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol W 2021-05-30 FC Tokyo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2021-05-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2021-05-23 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2021-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Tokushima Vortis L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-06-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-26 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers W 2021-05-15 Oita FC Trinita 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima46% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.04

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

76%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

54%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima30% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.4%

1 – 0

14.7%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

9.4%

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

5.1%

0 – 2

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 2

3.3%

3 – 1

3.2%

3 – 2

1.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	24%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.