Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yusuke Araki
- Referee Koji Murakami
- Referee Koichiro Fukushima
- Referee Hiromichi Oka
- Referee Ryosuke Murai
- Referee Kota Watanabe
4 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 7.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 May | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 May | Tokushima Vortis | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 May | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Sagan Tosu FC get us underway at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yoshifumi Kashiwa suffering a number of foals already.
- 16' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Ezequiel on, Yuya Asano off on 16 minutes.
- 21' Yoshihiro Nakano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 41' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 62' Junior Santos makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 63' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomoya Koyamatsu is hanging Yoshihiro Nakano on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tomoya Fujii is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 73' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Keita Yamashita departs to be replaced by Ismael Dunga.
- 76' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Ezequiel exits the field as Kosei Shibasaki enters on 76.
- 81' Daichi Hayashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 84' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Ayumu Ohata is replaced by Shinya Nakano.
- 85' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Tsukasa Morishima trudges off to be replaced by Rhayner on 85 minutes.
- 90' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keiya Sento made 306 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
37
Junior Santos ↓ Douglas Vieira 85'
- 19
- 6
- 38
- 2
- 18
-
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Rhayner 85'
- 8
- 4
-
29
Yuya Asano ↓ Ezequiel 16'
- 15
Bench
-
27
Rhayner ↑ 85'
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 16'
- 1
- 30
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 76'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 85'
- 33
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
- 41
- 10
- 40
- 4
- 8
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 84'
- 44
- 24
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↓ Ismael Dunga 73'
Bench
-
33
Ismael Dunga ↑ 73'
- 1
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 63'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
-
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 73'
- 30
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Makoto Mitsuta | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Tsukasa Shiotani | 1 |
| Yuya Asano | 1 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2021-07-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Sagan Tosu FC
D
2021-06-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2021-05-30
FC Tōkyō
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2021-05-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2021-05-23
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2021-05-15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Tokushima Vortis
L
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
54%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

