Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 12,230 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Toya Izumi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel Kobe — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Akane Yagi (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
04 Mar Gamba Osaka H 4–0 W
25 Feb Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–1 W
18 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
05 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
5/1
61-75
3/6
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vissel Kobe
Yuya Osako 6 G
Yoshinori Muto 4 G 2 A
Ren Komatsu 3 G
Katsuya Nagato 2 G 1 A
Yuta Goke 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Vissel Kobe for another epic battle.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Leo Osaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Toya Izumi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kosuke Yamazaki.
  • 32' Vissel Kobe is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Vissel Kobe are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 47' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Vissel Kobe team. Toya Izumi is replaced by Koya Yuruki on 56 minute.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuji Ono is replaced by Cayman Togashi on 57 minute.
  • 62' Vissel Kobe is showing some good football. However, Vissel Kobe are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Cayman Togashi by Yuta Fujihara on 64 minute.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Vissel Kobe. Haruya Ide is replaced by Daiju Sasaki.
  • 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 74' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Taichi Kikuchi has done his job and it is now time for Ryonosuke Kabayama to step up.
  • 79' Masaya Tashiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vissel Kobe so far.
  • 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Leo Osaki. He replaces Yoshinori Muto on 86 minute.
  • With this win, Vissel Kobe is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Vissel Kobe xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw28% Vissel Kobe47%
Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Vissel Kobe
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Vissel Kobe
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw47% Vissel Kobe35%
Actual: Vissel Kobe win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.