Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 12,230 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Toya Izumi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel KobeJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Akane Yagi (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
04 Mar Gamba Osaka H 4–0 W
25 Feb Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–1 W
18 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
05 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–3 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Vissel Kobe.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yuki Horigome has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Shinya Nakano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 22' A goal from the Japan international Toya Izumi! He fires home on 22 to make it 0-1!
  • 27' The referee calls foul for Kosuke Yamazaki. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 32' Kosuke Yamazaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vissel Kobe so far.
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' Vissel Kobe come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 47' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 52' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Vissel Kobe's compact 4-1-2-3.
  • 56' Koya Yuruki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Toya Izumi on 56 minute.
  • 57' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuji Ono exits the field as Cayman Togashi enters on 57.
  • 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takayuki Yoshida might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 64' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Cayman Togashi trudges off to be replaced by Yuta Fujihara on 64 minutes.
  • 66' Haruya Ide makes way for Daiju Sasaki at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Vissel Kobe.
  • 71' Hotaru Yamaguchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 369 appearances.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 86' Leo Osaki gets the nod from Vissel Kobe. He replaces Yoshinori Muto and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Vissel Kobe players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Vissel Kobe xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw28% Vissel Kobe47%
Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Vissel Kobe
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Vissel Kobe
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw47% Vissel Kobe35%
Actual: Vissel Kobe win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.