Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 12,230 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Toya Izumi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel KobeJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Akane Yagi (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu
8 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
04 Mar Gamba Osaka H 4–0 W
25 Feb Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–1 W
18 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
05 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe
0-15
/
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
/2
61-75
4/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Vissel Kobe — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Vissel Kobe are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Haruya Ide is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vissel Kobe so far.
  • 22' Goal! Toya Izumi scores his 1 goal in 444 matches.
  • 27' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 27.
  • 32' Yuji Ono has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leo Osaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Vissel Kobe are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Time for substitution for Vissel Kobe. Toya Izumi is replaced by Koya Yuruki.
  • 57' Cayman Togashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuji Ono at the 57 minute mark.
  • 62' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' Yuta Fujihara is replacing Cayman Togashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 66' A change in the Vissel Kobe ranks — Haruya Ide exits the field as Daiju Sasaki enters on 66.
  • 71' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 74' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Taichi Kikuchi is withdrawn and Ryonosuke Kabayama gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Il-kyu Park, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Vissel Kobe needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Yoshinori Muto makes way for Leo Osaki at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Vissel Kobe.
  • Vissel Kobe celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Vissel Kobe xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw28% Vissel Kobe47%
Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Vissel Kobe
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Vissel Kobe
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC18% Draw47% Vissel Kobe35%
Actual: Vissel Kobe win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.