Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Cerezo Osaka FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Fagiano Okayama FC

Wed 2 Apr 2025 · 10:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Kota Kudo

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Cerezo Osaka FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	2–1	W
28 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
15 Mar	Yokohama FC	A	0–2	L
08 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Albirex Niigata	A	2–2	D
26 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–2	L

Fagiano Okayama FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
29 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–0	D
08 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–1	D
26 Feb	Gamba Osaka	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC		Fagiano Okayama FC
#2	Position	#6
31	Points	26
18	Played	18
11 / 0 / 7	W / D / L	8 / 0 / 10
48	Scored	41
38	Conceded	46
+10	GD	-5
1.72	PPG	1.44
61%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/4

46-60

1/3

61-75

2/2

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fagiano Okayama FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	1 G

Fagiano Okayama FC

Kota Kawano	3 G
Lucao	1 G	1 A
Noah Browne	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC — let the football do the talking.
3' Thiago Andrade makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
8' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
13' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
18' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
23' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
38' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 399 goals from 373 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Shinnosuke Hatanaka by Ryuya Nishio on 40 minute.
44' GOAL! Ryunosuke Sato fires home to make it 1-1!
45' The referee shows Fagiano Okayama FC player a card on 45.
48' Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
53' It is a cagey affair so far. Cerezo Osaka FC in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
57' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Ibuki Fujita by Yuta Kamiya on 57 minute.
59' Hinata Kida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Motohiko Nakajima at the 59 minute mark.
64' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Lucao trudges off to be replaced by Noah Browne on 64 minutes.
69' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
74' Daichi Tagami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
76' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Ataru Esaka exits the field as Kazunari Ichimi enters on 76.
81' A quiet spell here at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
84' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Niko Takahashi on, Kyohei Noborizato off on 84 minutes.
85' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 85 minute. Rafael Ratao leaves to be changed by Shinji Kagawa.
90' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Jin-hyeon Kim on, Koki Fukui off on 90 minutes.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

77
Lucas Fernandes
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Niko Takahashi 84'
3
Ryosuke Shindo
44
Shinnosuke Hatanaka ↓ Ryuya Nishio 40'
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Shinji Kagawa 85'
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↓ Hinata Kida 59'
10
Shunta Tanaka
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Masaya Shibayama 59'
38
Sota Kitano
16
Hayato Okuda
1
Koki Fukui ↓ Jin-hyeon Kim 90'

Bench

8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 85'
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 59'
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 40'
55
Vitor Bueno
21
Jin-hyeon Kim ↑ 90'
19
Shion Homma
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 59'
29
Kengo Furuyama
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 84'

Coach Arthur Papas

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 64'
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 57'
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 57'
45
Noah Browne ↑ 64'
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 90'
23
Riku Saga
3
Kaito Fujii
13
Junki Kanayama

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yumeki Yokoyama	2
Leonardo Gaucho	2
Rafael Ratao	2
Ryunosuke Sato	2
Satoki Uejo	1
Thiago Andrade	1
Lucao	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.68 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Fagiano Okayama FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC59% Draw20% Fagiano Okayama FC21%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 4.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC

41%

Cerezo Osaka FC or Fagiano Okayama FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC46% Draw35% Fagiano Okayama FC19%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 1

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

2 – 0

5.6%

3 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.8%

4 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.6%

1 – 0

3.8%

4 – 2

3.6%

4 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap	Cerezo Osaka FC covers	Push	Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	17%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	19%	39%
-0.5	61%	—	39%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	11%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Clean Sheet