Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 48 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 46 |
| +10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 61% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Cerezo Osaka FC host Fagiano Okayama FC — let the battle begin!
- 3' Thiago Andrade is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 8' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 13' Over 13 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 23' Kyohei Noborizato is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 28' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
- 33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' The crowd applauds Shinnosuke Hatanaka as he leaves the pitch. Ryuya Nishio steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 44' The Japan midfielder Ryunosuke Sato breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-1!
- 45' Kota Kudo was booked on 45.
- 48' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Ratao makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 45.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Ibuki Fujita by Yuta Kamiya on 57 minute.
- 59' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Motohiko Nakajima by Hinata Kida on 59 minute.
- 64' Noah Browne is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucao at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' Hijiri Kato has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 74' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 76' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Kazunari Ichimi.
- 81' Japan international Ryosuke Shindo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 84' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Kyohei Noborizato is replaced by Niko Takahashi on 84 minute.
- 85' Shinji Kagawa gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Rafael Ratao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Koki Fukui by Jin-hyeon Kim on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. Cerezo Osaka FC and Fagiano Okayama FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 6
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Shinji Kagawa 85'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↓ Hinata Kida 59'
- 10
- 11
- 38
- 16
-
1
Koki Fukui ↓ Jin-hyeon Kim 90'
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 85'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 59'
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 40'
- 55
-
21
Jin-hyeon Kim ↑ 90'
- 19
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 59'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 84'
Coach
Arthur Papas
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
-
24
Ibuki Fujita ↓ Yuta Kamiya 57'
- 15
- 39
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Masaya Matsumoto 64'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 64'
- 14
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 57'
Bench
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 64'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 57'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 57'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 64'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 90'
- 23
- 3
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Gamba Osaka
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
41%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 17% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 19% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

