Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 48 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 46 |
| +10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 61% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Fagiano Okayama FC gets underway.
- 3' Thiago Andrade puts Cerezo Osaka FC on the lead.
- 8' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cerezo Osaka FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' Noah Browne, a Japan forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 33' It is a cagey affair so far. Cerezo Osaka FC in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Shinnosuke Hatanaka makes way for Ryuya Nishio at the 40 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 44' The deadlock is broken! Ryunosuke Sato gets on the scoresheet on 44 minutes.
- 45' Poor challenge from Kota Kudo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 48' Against the run of play, Rafael Ratao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takaya Kimura made 69 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Yuta Kamiya. He replaces Ibuki Fujita on 57 minute.
- 59' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Motohiko Nakajima by Hinata Kida on 59 minute.
- 64' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Noah Browne comes on to replace Lucao.
- 69' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 74' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 76' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 76 minute. Ataru Esaka leaves to be changed by Kazunari Ichimi.
- 81' Hijiri Kato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 84' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 84 minute. Kyohei Noborizato leaves to be changed by Niko Takahashi.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Shinji Kagawa. He replaces Rafael Ratao on 85 minute.
- 90' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 90 minute. Koki Fukui leaves to be changed by Jin-hyeon Kim.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 6
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Shinji Kagawa 85'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↓ Hinata Kida 59'
- 10
- 11
- 38
- 16
-
1
Koki Fukui ↓ Jin-hyeon Kim 90'
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 85'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 59'
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 40'
- 55
-
21
Jin-hyeon Kim ↑ 90'
- 19
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 59'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 84'
Coach
Arthur Papas
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
-
24
Ibuki Fujita ↓ Yuta Kamiya 57'
- 15
- 39
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Masaya Matsumoto 64'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 64'
- 14
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 57'
Bench
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 64'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 57'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 57'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 64'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 90'
- 23
- 3
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Gamba Osaka
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
41%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 17% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 19% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

