Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 48 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 46 |
| +10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 61% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cerezo Osaka FC to score. At the same time, Fagiano Okayama FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 3' What composure from Thiago Andrade! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 8' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 13' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cerezo Osaka FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' Ryosuke Shindo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 381 appearances.
- 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shinnosuke Hatanaka suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' Kyohei Noborizato has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' Ryuya Nishio is replacing Shinnosuke Hatanaka for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 44' Ryunosuke Sato is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 45' A moment of madness from Kota Kudo on 45 minutes earns him a card. Fagiano Okayama FC will be frustrated.
- 48' Rafael Ratao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 53' Fagiano Okayama FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 57' Yuta Kamiya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ibuki Fujita at the 57 minute mark.
- 59' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 59 minute. Motohiko Nakajima leaves to be changed by Hinata Kida.
- 64' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Noah Browne comes on to replace Lucao.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 56 games and scored 51 goals.
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Kazunari Ichimi on 76 minute.
- 81' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 84' Niko Takahashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyohei Noborizato on 84 minute.
- 85' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Rafael Ratao by Shinji Kagawa on 85 minute.
- 90' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Jin-hyeon Kim comes on to replace Koki Fukui.
- Another three points for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 6
- 3
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Shinji Kagawa 85'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↓ Hinata Kida 59'
- 10
- 11
- 38
- 16
-
1
Koki Fukui ↓ Jin-hyeon Kim 90'
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 85'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 59'
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 40'
- 55
-
21
Jin-hyeon Kim ↑ 90'
- 19
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 59'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 84'
Coach
Arthur Papas
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
-
24
Ibuki Fujita ↓ Yuta Kamiya 57'
- 15
- 39
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Masaya Matsumoto 64'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 64'
- 14
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 57'
Bench
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 64'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 57'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 57'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 64'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↑ 90'
- 23
- 3
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-02-26
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Gamba Osaka
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
41%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 17% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 19% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

