Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
14 Feb Gamba Osaka A 5–2 W
08 Dec FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
30 Nov Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC is underway.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 17' Ken Yamura does the damage! The net is bulging and Albirex Niigata surge ahead!
  • 22' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 27' Sota Kitano, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' The Japan forward Motohiko Nakajima breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 1-1!
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuji Hoshi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Hinata Kida has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Thiago Andrade.
  • 54' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Thiago Andrade trudges off to be replaced by Reiya Sakata on 54 minutes.
  • 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 62' The Japan Motoki Hasegawa breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 2-1!
  • 64' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Vitor Bueno trudges off to be replaced by Hinata Kida on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshiaki Takagi is hanging Yuji Hoshi on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunta Tanaka.
  • 75' Rafael Ratao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hayato Okuda at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 84' The whistle greets Motoki Hasegawa as he departs to be replaced by Yota Komi.
  • 85' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Ken Yamura is withdrawn and Jason Geria gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The 32-year-old Lucas Fernandes has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata42% Draw27% Cerezo Osaka FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw46% Cerezo Osaka FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.