Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Albirex Niigata
2 – 2
Full Time
Cerezo Osaka FC
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 49' Thiago Andrade
Y 74' Shunta Tanaka
Y 80' Hinata Kida

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

2
2
2
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Cerezo Osaka FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-07-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
14 Feb Gamba Osaka A 5–2 W
08 Dec FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
30 Nov Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Albirex Niigata is hosting Cerezo Osaka FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuto Horigome made 110 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' What a strike from Ken Yamura! The score is 1-0.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' GOAL! Motohiko Nakajima scores on 28. Assisted by Lucas Fernandes
  • 33' Michael Fitzgerald has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 43' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thiago Andrade on 49.
  • 54' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Thiago Andrade by Reiya Sakata on 54 minute.
  • 59' Shinnosuke Hatanaka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 62' What a strike from Motoki Hasegawa! The score is 2-1.
  • 64' Hinata Kida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitor Bueno on 64 minute.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Yuji Hoshi is replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi on 69 minute.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shunta Tanaka on 74.
  • 75' Rafael Ratao is replacing Hayato Okuda for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 80' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 84' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Motoki Hasegawa by Yota Komi on 84 minute.
  • 85' Jason Geria is replacing Ken Yamura for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 90' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daisuke Kimori

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Papas

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lucas Fernandes 2
Motohiko Nakajima 2
Kazuhiko Chiba 1
Yuto Horigome 1
Kaito Taniguchi 1
Motoki Nagakura 1
Leo Ceara 1
Yuji Ono 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-07-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Albirex Niigata L 2025-02-22 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Albirex Niigata L 2025-02-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-12-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Albirex Niigata D 2024-11-30 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Gamba Osaka L

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-02-22 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-02-14 Gamba Osaka 2–5 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-12-08 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-11-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata42% Draw27% Cerezo Osaka FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw46% Cerezo Osaka FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.