Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Assistant 1 Akane Yagi (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Kentaro Matsui
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Cerezo Osaka FC is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
- 5' Nassim Ben Khalifa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Takumu Kawamura is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Tsukasa Morishima, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Japan international Sota Koshimichi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ezequiel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 45' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 410 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Douglas Vieira on, Nassim Ben Khalifa off on 60 minutes.
- 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinji Kagawa, as he is very good at scoring at Yanmar Stadium Nagai with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 71 minute. Hirotaka Tameda leaves to be changed by Kato Mutsuki.
- 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 77' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Sota Koshimichi is replaced by Ezequiel on 77 minute.
- 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 86' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Seiya Maikuma is replaced by Hikaru Nakahara.
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Douglas Vieira does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Tsukasa Morishima has done his job and it is now time for Shuto Nakano to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
- 9
- 8
- 25
- 4
- 6
- 2
- 22
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 86'
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 71'
- 24
- 21
Bench
- 3
- 33
-
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 86'
- 7
- 1
-
20
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 71'
- 38
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Ezequiel 77'
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 77'
- 22
- 17
- 20
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 60'
- 16
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-04-23
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2023-04-15
FC Tokyo
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2023-04-09
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
L
2023-04-01
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2023-03-18
Kawasaki Frontale
0–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
FC Tokyo
L
2023-04-15
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2023-04-01
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-03-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.