Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Assistant 1 Akane Yagi (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Kentaro Matsui
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Yanmar Stadium Nagai!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC are deployed in a 4-1-2-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 15' Japan international Hiroaki Okuno has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' The 32-year-old Riki Harakawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' Sota Koshimichi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 50' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' named a 4-1-2-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Douglas Vieira on, Nassim Ben Khalifa off on 60 minutes.
- 65' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 70' Sho Sasaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 71' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Hirotaka Tameda is replaced by Kato Mutsuki on 71 minute.
- 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 77' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Ezequiel on, Sota Koshimichi off on 77 minutes.
- 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 86' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 86 minute. Seiya Maikuma leaves to be changed by Hikaru Nakahara.
- 90' A moment of madness from Leo Ceara on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
- 90' GOAL! Douglas Vieira fires home to make it 0-1!
- 90' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tsukasa Morishima by Shuto Nakano on 90 minute.
- With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
- 9
- 8
- 25
- 4
- 6
- 2
- 22
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 86'
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Mutsuki Kato 71'
- 24
- 21
Bench
- 3
- 33
-
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 86'
- 7
- 1
-
20
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 71'
- 38
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Ezequiel 77'
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 77'
- 22
- 17
- 20
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 60'
- 16
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 90'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Patric | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-04-23
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2023-04-15
FC Tōkyō
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2023-04-09
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
L
2023-04-01
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2023-03-18
Kawasaki Frontale
0–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
FC Tōkyō
L
2023-04-15
Yokohama FC
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-04-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2023-04-01
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-03-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

