Kyōto Sanga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kyōto Sanga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.
- Kyōto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kyōto Sanga FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 23 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 32 | Scored | 41 |
| 39 | Conceded | 33 |
| -7 | GD | +8 |
| 1.28 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Kyōto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kyōto Sanga FC
| Rafael Elias | 7 G | 4 A |
| Haruki Arai | 4 G | |
| Ryuma Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Kyōto Sanga FC have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Shimpei Fukuoka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kyōto Sanga FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Hisashi Appiah Tawiah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' Hayato Araki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gakuji Ota suffering a number of foals already.
- 53' Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Pedro Mendes is hanging Temma Matsuda on the field on 53 minute.
- 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kyōto Sanga FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' Papagaio adds to his 0 season tally! Kyoto Sanga FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 64' Valere Germain makes way for Sota Nakamura at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Naoki Maeda. He replaces Mutsuki Kato on 72 minute.
- 77' Naoto Arai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 382 appearances.
- 82' A quiet spell here at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA. Kyōto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 86' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sota Koshimichi is hanging Sota Kawasaki on the field on 86 minute.
- Full Time. Kyōto Sanga FC beats Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Lineups
Kyōto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 14
- 18
- 39
- 50
- 7
- 44
- 10
- 26
- 5
- 22
Bench
- 29
- 8
- 77
- 2
- 21
- 6
- 20
- 31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Sota Nakamura 64'
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 72'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoto Arai 64'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Naoki Maeda 72'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 72'
- 3
- 5
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 72'
- 20
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 64'
- 32
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 64'
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoto Arai | 3 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Papagaio | 2 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 2 |
| Yusuke Chajima | 2 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 2 |
| Taishi Matsumoto | 2 |
Head to Head
Kyōto Sanga FC Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-03-29
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-03-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
D
2025-03-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama FC
W
2025-02-26
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-02-16
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.29
Kyōto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Kyōto Sanga FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kyōto Sanga FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Kyōto Sanga FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
63%
Kyōto Sanga FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Kyōto Sanga FC
| Handicap | Kyōto Sanga FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.